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Killers of the Flower Moon vs. Taylor Swift

Market icon

Killers of the Flower Moon vs. Taylor Swift

Killers

0% chance
Polymarket

$38,137 Vol.

Killers

0% chance
Polymarket

$38,137 Vol.

This is a market on whether 'Killers of the Flower Moon' (2023) or 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' (2023) has a higher weekend gross on Oct 20 - 22 weekend. The respective "Domestic Weekend" tabs on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt5537002/ and https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4054352641/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (October 20-22) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Killers" if the 3-day domestic gross of 'Killers of the Flower Moon' is greater than 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour'. This market will resolve to "Taylor Swift" if the 3-day domestic gross of 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' is greater than 'Killers of the Flower Moon'. If the domestic grosses are exactly the same the market will resolve to 50-50.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by October 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$38,137
End Date
Oct 23, 2023
Market Opened
Oct 17, 2023, 11:37 PM ET
This is a market on whether 'Killers of the Flower Moon' (2023) or 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' (2023) has a higher weekend gross on Oct 20 - 22 weekend. The respective "Domestic Weekend" tabs on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt5537002/ and https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4054352641/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (October 20-22) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Killers" if the 3-day domestic gross of 'Killers of the Flower Moon' is greater than 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour'. This market will resolve to "Taylor Swift" if the 3-day domestic gross of 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' is greater than 'Killers of the Flower Moon'. If the domestic grosses are exactly the same the market will resolve to 50-50. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by October 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Outcome proposed: Taylor Swift

No dispute

Final outcome: Taylor Swift

This is a market on whether 'Killers of the Flower Moon' (2023) or 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' (2023) has a higher weekend gross on Oct 20 - 22 weekend. The respective "Domestic Weekend" tabs on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt5537002/ and https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4054352641/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (October 20-22) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Killers" if the 3-day domestic gross of 'Killers of the Flower Moon' is greater than 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour'. This market will resolve to "Taylor Swift" if the 3-day domestic gross of 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' is greater than 'Killers of the Flower Moon'. If the domestic grosses are exactly the same the market will resolve to 50-50.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by October 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$38,137
End Date
Oct 23, 2023
Market Opened
Oct 17, 2023, 11:37 PM ET
This is a market on whether 'Killers of the Flower Moon' (2023) or 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' (2023) has a higher weekend gross on Oct 20 - 22 weekend. The respective "Domestic Weekend" tabs on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt5537002/ and https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4054352641/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (October 20-22) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Killers" if the 3-day domestic gross of 'Killers of the Flower Moon' is greater than 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour'. This market will resolve to "Taylor Swift" if the 3-day domestic gross of 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' is greater than 'Killers of the Flower Moon'. If the domestic grosses are exactly the same the market will resolve to 50-50. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by October 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Outcome proposed: Taylor Swift

No dispute

Final outcome: Taylor Swift

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Killers of the Flower Moon vs. Taylor Swift" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Killers of the Flower Moon vs. Taylor Swift" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Killers of the Flower Moon vs. Taylor Swift" has generated $38.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 18, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Killers of the Flower Moon vs. Taylor Swift," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Killers of the Flower Moon vs. Taylor Swift" is "Killers of the Flower Moon vs. Taylor Swift" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Killers of the Flower Moon vs. Taylor Swift" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.