Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Israel x Syria security deal before September?

$274,449 Vol.

<1% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying agreements must directly address border security and demarcation, military de-escalation, airstrike cessation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition.

Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.

The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, if no such statements are made, the market may resolve based on an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a formal agreement has been reached.
Volume
$274,449
End Date
Sep 1, 2025
Created At
Jun 25, 2025, 10:26 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$274,449 Vol.

Market icon

Israel x Syria security deal before September?

<1% chance

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying agreements must directly address border security and demarcation, military de-escalation, airstrike cessation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition.

Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.

The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, if no such statements are made, the market may resolve based on an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a formal agreement has been reached.
Volume
$274,449
End Date
Sep 1, 2025
Created At
Jun 25, 2025, 10:26 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.