September 16 100.0%
September 17 <1%
September 18 <1%
September 19 <1%
$506,012 Vol.
$506,012 Vol.
Sep 23, 2025
September 16
Yes
September 17
No
September 18
No
September 19
No
September 20
No
September 21
No
September 22
No
September 23
No
No Strike
No
September 16 100.0%
September 17 <1%
September 18 <1%
September 19 <1%
$506,012 Vol.
$506,012 Vol.
Sep 23, 2025
September 16
$290,009 Vol.
Yes
September 17
$67,944 Vol.
No
September 18
$21,744 Vol.
No
September 19
$20,076 Vol.
No
September 20
$22,499 Vol.
No
September 21
$26,280 Vol.
No
September 22
$23,017 Vol.
No
September 23
$22,513 Vol.
No
No Strike
$11,931 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the first day ET Israel next initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate.
This market will resolve to "No strike" if no qualifying strike is conducted by September 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the first day ET Israel next initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate.
This market will resolve to "No strike" if no qualifying strike is conducted by September 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No strike" if no qualifying strike is conducted by September 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2025, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$506,012End Date
Sep 23, 2025Market Opened
Sep 16, 2025, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions