Israel strike on Tehran before July?
$67,983 Vol.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the Central District of Tehran County, or any target within it, between June 11 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market Tehran is inclusive of the entirety of the Central District of Tehran County (see: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_District_(Tehran_County)). Strikes on other districts within Tehran County will not qualify.
A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact within Tehran.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land in Tehran, or cause damage.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence. If there is ambiguity over whether a strike occurred, or whether the drone/missile was intercepted, this market will resolve based on whatever is most likely according to a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.
For the purposes of this market Tehran is inclusive of the entirety of the Central District of Tehran County (see: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_District_(Tehran_County)). Strikes on other districts within Tehran County will not qualify.
A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact within Tehran.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land in Tehran, or cause damage.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence. If there is ambiguity over whether a strike occurred, or whether the drone/missile was intercepted, this market will resolve based on whatever is most likely according to a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.
Created At: Jun 11, 2025, 10:33 PM UTC
Volume
$67,983End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
Jun 11, 2025, 10:33 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$67,983 Vol.
Israel strike on Tehran before July?
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the Central District of Tehran County, or any target within it, between June 11 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market Tehran is inclusive of the entirety of the Central District of Tehran County (see: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_District_(Tehran_County)). Strikes on other districts within Tehran County will not qualify.
A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact within Tehran.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land in Tehran, or cause damage.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence. If there is ambiguity over whether a strike occurred, or whether the drone/missile was intercepted, this market will resolve based on whatever is most likely according to a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.
For the purposes of this market Tehran is inclusive of the entirety of the Central District of Tehran County (see: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_District_(Tehran_County)). Strikes on other districts within Tehran County will not qualify.
A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact within Tehran.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land in Tehran, or cause damage.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence. If there is ambiguity over whether a strike occurred, or whether the drone/missile was intercepted, this market will resolve based on whatever is most likely according to a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.
Volume
$67,983End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
Jun 11, 2025, 10:33 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.