Market icon

Is the @SBF_DOGE account on X real?

Market icon

Is the @SBF_DOGE account on X real?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$127,986 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$127,986 Vol.

On February 24, an X account claiming to be a pardoned Sam Bankman-Fried began posting. You can see those posts here: https://x.com/sbf_doge/status/1894225814520029553

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is proven the @SBF_DOGE X account is owned or operated by or under the direction of SBF. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this is not proven by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$127,986
End Date
Feb 28, 2025
Created At
Feb 24, 2025, 11:01 PM ET
On February 24, an X account claiming to be a pardoned Sam Bankman-Fried began posting. You can see those posts here: https://x.com/sbf_doge/status/1894225814520029553 This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is proven the @SBF_DOGE X account is owned or operated by or under the direction of SBF. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this is not proven by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

On February 24, an X account claiming to be a pardoned Sam Bankman-Fried began posting. You can see those posts here: https://x.com/sbf_doge/status/1894225814520029553

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is proven the @SBF_DOGE X account is owned or operated by or under the direction of SBF. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this is not proven by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$127,986
End Date
Feb 28, 2025
Created At
Feb 24, 2025, 11:01 PM ET
On February 24, an X account claiming to be a pardoned Sam Bankman-Fried began posting. You can see those posts here: https://x.com/sbf_doge/status/1894225814520029553 This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is proven the @SBF_DOGE X account is owned or operated by or under the direction of SBF. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this is not proven by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Is the @SBF_DOGE account on X real?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Is the @SBF_DOGE account on X real?" has generated $128K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Is the @SBF_DOGE account on X real?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Is the @SBF_DOGE account on X real?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Is the @SBF_DOGE account on X real?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.