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How long will it take Alex Honnold to free solo Taipei 101?

$10,796 Vol.

2hr - 2hr 15m 17%

Not Completed 16%

2hr 30m+ 15%

2hr 15m - 2hr 30m 13%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Alex Honnold is scheduled to free solo (climb without ropes or protective equipment) the tallest building in Taiwan (Taipei 101) on a Netflix livestream on January 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Alex Honnold to complete this free solo.

Honnold’s free solo will begin when he first leaves the ground and starts climbing or when an on-screen timer of the climb begins (if available).

Alex Honnold’s free solo will be considered completed when he finishes the full route depicted as the official climb in the Netflix livestream of the event without the use of ropes or protective equipment. If the livestream presents the climb as ending upon reaching the roof or 101st floor of Taipei 101, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold reaches that point. If the livestream presents the official route as continuing beyond the 101st floor to the top of the building’s spire, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold first reaches the top of the spire.

If Alex Honnold completes the free solo in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longest time bracket.

If Honnold’s free solo attempt is canceled, postponed after January 31, 2026, abandoned before completion (e.g. he climbs back down or enters the building through a window), or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".

The resolution source for this market will be the Netflix livestream of Honnold’s climb (including an on-screen timer if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,796
End Date
Jan 23, 2026
Created At
Dec 23, 2025, 12:53 AM UTC
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$10,796 Vol.

Market icon

How long will it take Alex Honnold to free solo Taipei 101?

2hr - 2hr 15m 17%

Not Completed 16%

2hr 30m+ 15%

2hr 15m - 2hr 30m 13%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

<1hr

$586 Vol.

1%

1hr - 1hr 15m

$999 Vol.

4%

1 hr 15m - 1 hr 30m

$790 Vol.

9%

1hr 30m - 1hr 45m

$613 Vol.

9%

1hr 45m - 2hr

$845 Vol.

10%

2hr - 2hr 15m

$650 Vol.

17%

2hr 15m - 2hr 30m

$1,265 Vol.

13%

2hr 30m+

$467 Vol.

15%

Not Completed

$4,581 Vol.

16%

About

Volume
$10,796
End Date
Jan 23, 2026
Created At
Dec 23, 2025, 12:53 AM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.