Highest temperature in Seattle on January 1?
NEW
44-45°F 63%
42-43°F 43%
41°F or below 27%
46-47°F 9%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
41°F or below
$15 Vol.
27%
41°F or below
$15 Vol.
27%
42-43°F
$0 Vol.
43%
42-43°F
$0 Vol.
43%
44-45°F
$35 Vol.
63%
44-45°F
$35 Vol.
63%
46-47°F
$53 Vol.
9%
46-47°F
$53 Vol.
9%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
6%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
6%
50-51°F
$78 Vol.
1%
50-51°F
$78 Vol.
1%
52°F or higher
$78 Vol.
2%
52°F or higher
$78 Vol.
2%
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jan '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Created At: Dec 30, 2025, 11:00 AM UTC
Volume
$260End Date
Jan 1, 2026Created At
Dec 30, 2025, 11:00 AM UTCResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NEW
Highest temperature in Seattle on January 1?
44-45°F 63%
42-43°F 43%
41°F or below 27%
46-47°F 9%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
41°F or below
$15 Vol.
27%
42-43°F
$0 Vol.
43%
44-45°F
$35 Vol.
63%
46-47°F
$53 Vol.
9%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
6%
50-51°F
$78 Vol.
1%
52°F or higher
$78 Vol.
2%
About
Volume
$260End Date
Jan 1, 2026Created At
Dec 30, 2025, 11:00 AM UTCResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.