Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 34°C as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 18, driven by the India Meteorological Department's latest forecast pinning the maximum at exactly that level amid stable anticyclonic conditions and clear skies. Historical March data from IMD stations shows average highs of 32-35°C in Lucknow, aligning with current model outputs from ECMWF and GFS that project minimal deviation due to weak southerly winds suppressing heat buildup. This positioning reflects low volatility in early spring weather patterns, but realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge in solar insolation from reduced cloud cover or minor jet stream shifts, potentially pushing temps toward 35-36°C as seen in occasional pre-monsoon spikes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 18?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 18?
34°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$93,000 Vol.
$93,000 Vol.
33°C or below
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$93,000 Vol.
$93,000 Vol.
33°C or below
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 14, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 34°C as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 18, driven by the India Meteorological Department's latest forecast pinning the maximum at exactly that level amid stable anticyclonic conditions and clear skies. Historical March data from IMD stations shows average highs of 32-35°C in Lucknow, aligning with current model outputs from ECMWF and GFS that project minimal deviation due to weak southerly winds suppressing heat buildup. This positioning reflects low volatility in early spring weather patterns, but realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge in solar insolation from reduced cloud cover or minor jet stream shifts, potentially pushing temps toward 35-36°C as seen in occasional pre-monsoon spikes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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