Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) observations at Aeroparque station recorded a maximum temperature of 26°C in Buenos Aires on April 12, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid mild autumn conditions with partly cloudy skies and light sea breezes. Pre-event SMN forecasts and models like ECMWF projected highs of 23–25°C, but greater afternoon solar insolation and minimal cloud interference enabled the slight exceedance above climatological April norms of around 22°C. Resolution hinges on finalized SMN data, with negligible risk of revision barring instrument malfunction or audit discrepancies—scenarios unprecedented in routine reporting. No further updates anticipated as the market nears closure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 12?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 12?
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$103,756 Vol.
$103,756 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$103,756 Vol.
$103,756 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) observations at Aeroparque station recorded a maximum temperature of 26°C in Buenos Aires on April 12, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid mild autumn conditions with partly cloudy skies and light sea breezes. Pre-event SMN forecasts and models like ECMWF projected highs of 23–25°C, but greater afternoon solar insolation and minimal cloud interference enabled the slight exceedance above climatological April norms of around 22°C. Resolution hinges on finalized SMN data, with negligible risk of revision barring instrument malfunction or audit discrepancies—scenarios unprecedented in routine reporting. No further updates anticipated as the market nears closure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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