First leader out of power in 2025?
$64,368,639 Vol.
Ishiba - Japan PM 100.0%
al-Sharaa - Syria President <1%
Meloni - Italy PM <1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President <1%

al-Sharaa - Syria President
$1,491,993 Vol.
No

al-Sharaa - Syria President
$1,491,993 Vol.
No

Meloni - Italy PM
$812,942 Vol.
No

Meloni - Italy PM
$812,942 Vol.
No

Ishiba - Japan PM
$2,093,494 Vol.
Yes

Ishiba - Japan PM
$2,093,494 Vol.
Yes

Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$10,288,596 Vol.
No

Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$10,288,596 Vol.
No

Putin - Russia President
$1,782,662 Vol.
No

Putin - Russia President
$1,782,662 Vol.
No

Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$1,645,702 Vol.
No

Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$1,645,702 Vol.
No

Macron - France President
$1,659,437 Vol.
No

Macron - France President
$1,659,437 Vol.
No

el-Sisi - Egypt President
$791,893 Vol.
No

el-Sisi - Egypt President
$791,893 Vol.
No

Trump - USA President
$2,519,416 Vol.
No

Trump - USA President
$2,519,416 Vol.
No

Starmer - UK PM
$1,434,881 Vol.
No

Starmer - UK PM
$1,434,881 Vol.
No

Milei - Argentina President
$781,298 Vol.
No

Milei - Argentina President
$781,298 Vol.
No

Newsom - California Governor
$552,939 Vol.
No

Newsom - California Governor
$552,939 Vol.
No

Netanyahu - Israel PM
$1,593,629 Vol.
No

Netanyahu - Israel PM
$1,593,629 Vol.
No

Albanese - Australia PM
$17,791,731 Vol.
No

Albanese - Australia PM
$17,791,731 Vol.
No

Maduro - Venezuela President
$2,046,071 Vol.
No

Maduro - Venezuela President
$2,046,071 Vol.
No

None in 2025
$2,181,638 Vol.
No

None in 2025
$2,181,638 Vol.
No

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$1,740,272 Vol.
No

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$1,740,272 Vol.
No

Xi - General Secretary of CCP
$1,833,966 Vol.
No

Xi - General Secretary of CCP
$1,833,966 Vol.
No

Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$833,893 Vol.
No

Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$833,893 Vol.
No

Kim - Supreme Leader of NK
$10,492,185 Vol.
No

Kim - Supreme Leader of NK
$10,492,185 Vol.
No
Rules
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Mar 11, 2025, 9:54 PM
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$64,368,639 Vol.
First leader out of power in 2025?
Ishiba - Japan PM 100.0%
al-Sharaa - Syria President <1%
Meloni - Italy PM <1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President <1%

al-Sharaa - Syria President
No

Meloni - Italy PM
No

Ishiba - Japan PM
Yes

Lula da Silva - Brazil President
No

Putin - Russia President
No

Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
No

Macron - France President
No

el-Sisi - Egypt President
No

Trump - USA President
No

Starmer - UK PM
No

Milei - Argentina President
No

Newsom - California Governor
No

Netanyahu - Israel PM
No

Albanese - Australia PM
No

Maduro - Venezuela President
No

None in 2025
No

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
No

Xi - General Secretary of CCP
No

Erdoğan - Türkiye President
No

Kim - Supreme Leader of NK
No
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...

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