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Sports·World Cup

FIFA World Cup Group A Winner

Market icon
Sports·World Cup

FIFA World Cup Group A Winner

Mexico 50%

CZE/DEN/MKD/IRL 24%

South Korea 17%

South Africa 5.0%

Polymarket

$20,640 Vol.

Mexico 50%

CZE/DEN/MKD/IRL 24%

South Korea 17%

South Africa 5.0%

Polymarket

$20,640 Vol.

Mexico

$8,744 Vol.

50%

CZE/DEN/MKD/IRL

$2,994 Vol.

24%

South Korea

$6,050 Vol.

17%

South Africa

$2,852 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mexico leads trader consensus at 50% implied probability as co-host with two Group A matches at high-altitude Estadio Azteca, leveraging FIFA 15th ranking and attacking threats like Santiago Giménez despite a mounting injury crisis sidelining goalkeeper Luis Malagón with an Achilles tear and captain Edson Álvarez recovering from ankle surgery. Czechia/Denmark/North Macedonia/Ireland holds 25% following Czechia's dramatic 2-2 (3-1 pens) playoff win over Denmark on March 31—their first World Cup qualification since 2006—highlighting defensive resilience and Patrik Schick's form to challenge in their FIFA 41st-ranked squad. South Korea sits at 20% buoyed by Son Heung-min's leadership amid recent 0-4 friendly loss to Ivory Coast exposing vulnerabilities, while South Africa's 5% reflects their underdog status (FIFA 60th) despite solid qualifying under Hugo Broos.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,640
End Date
Jun 27, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 6:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mexico leads trader consensus at 50% implied probability as co-host with two Group A matches at high-altitude Estadio Azteca, leveraging FIFA 15th ranking and attacking threats like Santiago Giménez despite a mounting injury crisis sidelining goalkeeper Luis Malagón with an Achilles tear and captain Edson Álvarez recovering from ankle surgery. Czechia/Denmark/North Macedonia/Ireland holds 25% following Czechia's dramatic 2-2 (3-1 pens) playoff win over Denmark on March 31—their first World Cup qualification since 2006—highlighting defensive resilience and Patrik Schick's form to challenge in their FIFA 41st-ranked squad. South Korea sits at 20% buoyed by Son Heung-min's leadership amid recent 0-4 friendly loss to Ivory Coast exposing vulnerabilities, while South Africa's 5% reflects their underdog status (FIFA 60th) despite solid qualifying under Hugo Broos.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,640
End Date
Jun 27, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 6:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"FIFA World Cup Group A Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mexico" at 50%, followed by "CZE/DEN/MKD/IRL" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FIFA World Cup Group A Winner" has generated $20.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FIFA World Cup Group A Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FIFA World Cup Group A Winner" is "Mexico" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "CZE/DEN/MKD/IRL" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FIFA World Cup Group A Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.