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Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks?

Market icon

Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$643,619 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$643,619 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the perpetrators responsible for the Cybertruck explosion outside the Trump Hotel in Las Vegas on January 1, 2025 and the terror attack in New Orleans are confirmed to belong to or have otherwise pledged allegiance to the same organization, such as ISIS, or collaborated in any capacity. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution date for this market is January 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

A religion does not qualify as an organization in the context of this market.

If evidence confirms that the Cybertruck explosion was caused by a technical malfunction, or was otherwise the result of an accident, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by an identified perpetrator and information released by relevant law enforcement agencies/officials, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$643,619
End Date
Jan 8, 2025
Created At
Jan 1, 2025, 6:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the perpetrators responsible for the Cybertruck explosion outside the Trump Hotel in Las Vegas on January 1, 2025 and the terror attack in New Orleans are confirmed to belong to or have otherwise pledged allegiance to the same organization, such as ISIS, or collaborated in any capacity. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution date for this market is January 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. A religion does not qualify as an organization in the context of this market. If evidence confirms that the Cybertruck explosion was caused by a technical malfunction, or was otherwise the result of an accident, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by an identified perpetrator and information released by relevant law enforcement agencies/officials, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the perpetrators responsible for the Cybertruck explosion outside the Trump Hotel in Las Vegas on January 1, 2025 and the terror attack in New Orleans are confirmed to belong to or have otherwise pledged allegiance to the same organization, such as ISIS, or collaborated in any capacity. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution date for this market is January 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

A religion does not qualify as an organization in the context of this market.

If evidence confirms that the Cybertruck explosion was caused by a technical malfunction, or was otherwise the result of an accident, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by an identified perpetrator and information released by relevant law enforcement agencies/officials, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$643,619
End Date
Jan 8, 2025
Created At
Jan 1, 2025, 6:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the perpetrators responsible for the Cybertruck explosion outside the Trump Hotel in Las Vegas on January 1, 2025 and the terror attack in New Orleans are confirmed to belong to or have otherwise pledged allegiance to the same organization, such as ISIS, or collaborated in any capacity. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution date for this market is January 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. A religion does not qualify as an organization in the context of this market. If evidence confirms that the Cybertruck explosion was caused by a technical malfunction, or was otherwise the result of an accident, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by an identified perpetrator and information released by relevant law enforcement agencies/officials, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks?" has generated $643.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.