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Sports·Formula 1

F1 Constructors' Champion

Market icon
Sports·Formula 1

F1 Constructors' Champion

Mercedes 79%

Ferrari 10%

McLaren 7.4%

Red Bull Racing 1.6%

Polymarket

$8,803,589 Vol.

Mercedes 79%

Ferrari 10%

McLaren 7.4%

Red Bull Racing 1.6%

Polymarket

$8,803,589 Vol.

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Mercedes

$510,284 Vol.

79%

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Ferrari

$257,095 Vol.

10%

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McLaren

$1,302,330 Vol.

7%

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Red Bull Racing

$395,523 Vol.

2%

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Cadillac

$942,736 Vol.

1%

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Racing Bulls

$850,778 Vol.

1%

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Haas

$983,756 Vol.

1%

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Alpine

$945,670 Vol.

1%

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Williams

$969,819 Vol.

<1%

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Aston Martin

$855,000 Vol.

<1%

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Audi

$791,166 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes' commanding early-season dominance in the 2026 Constructors' Championship, fueled by superior adaptation to new active aero and power unit regulations, has solidified their 78.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite. Kimi Antonelli and George Russell's back-to-back Grand Prix victories in China and Japan, plus a 1-2 finish at the Australian GP opener, have built a 45-point lead over Ferrari at 135 points total, with flawless podium sweeps showcasing Mercedes' race pace and reliability. Ferrari trails at 9.5% amid Charles Leclerc's consistent top-three finishes but lacks the outright speed edge, while McLaren's 7.5% reflects sporadic podiums hampered by strategy errors. Red Bull's midfield woes, including reliability gremlins, cap them at 1.6%, highlighting the vast performance chasm after four rounds.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volume
$8,803,589
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes' commanding early-season dominance in the 2026 Constructors' Championship, fueled by superior adaptation to new active aero and power unit regulations, has solidified their 78.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite. Kimi Antonelli and George Russell's back-to-back Grand Prix victories in China and Japan, plus a 1-2 finish at the Australian GP opener, have built a 45-point lead over Ferrari at 135 points total, with flawless podium sweeps showcasing Mercedes' race pace and reliability. Ferrari trails at 9.5% amid Charles Leclerc's consistent top-three finishes but lacks the outright speed edge, while McLaren's 7.5% reflects sporadic podiums hampered by strategy errors. Red Bull's midfield woes, including reliability gremlins, cap them at 1.6%, highlighting the vast performance chasm after four rounds.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volume
$8,803,589
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"F1 Constructors' Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mercedes" at 79%, followed by "Ferrari" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "F1 Constructors' Champion" has generated $8.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "F1 Constructors' Champion," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "F1 Constructors' Champion" is "Mercedes" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ferrari" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "F1 Constructors' Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.