December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$531,034 Vol.
1.05–1.09ºC 63.1%
1.00–1.04ºC 27%
1.10–1.14ºC 2.5%
<1.00ºC 1.1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<1.00ºC
$114,809 Vol.
1%
<1.00ºC
$114,809 Vol.
1%
1.00–1.04ºC
$123,133 Vol.
27%
1.00–1.04ºC
$123,133 Vol.
27%
1.05–1.09ºC
$64,854 Vol.
63%
1.05–1.09ºC
$64,854 Vol.
63%
1.10–1.14ºC
$52,623 Vol.
3%
1.10–1.14ºC
$52,623 Vol.
3%
1.15–1.19ºC
$57,822 Vol.
1%
1.15–1.19ºC
$57,822 Vol.
1%
>1.19ºC
$117,793 Vol.
1%
>1.19ºC
$117,793 Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2025 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for December 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for December 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for December 2025 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for December 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for December 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for December 2025 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Created At: Dec 10, 2025, 11:19 PM UTC
Volume
$531,034End Date
Jan 10, 2026Created At
Dec 10, 2025, 11:19 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$531,034 Vol.
December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.05–1.09ºC 63.1%
1.00–1.04ºC 27%
1.10–1.14ºC 2.5%
<1.00ºC 1.1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<1.00ºC
$114,809 Vol.
1%
1.00–1.04ºC
$123,133 Vol.
27%
1.05–1.09ºC
$64,854 Vol.
63%
1.10–1.14ºC
$52,623 Vol.
3%
1.15–1.19ºC
$57,822 Vol.
1%
>1.19ºC
$117,793 Vol.
1%
About
Volume
$531,034End Date
Jan 10, 2026Created At
Dec 10, 2025, 11:19 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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