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Debate Bingo - Card 2

$47,130 Vol.

Sep 10, 2024

Yes

0% chance 25%

Source: Polymarket.com

Rules

This market is over bingo card 2 for the US Presidential debate scheduled for September 10. Each square on the bingo card is associated with a Polymarket event on the debate. You can find the bingo card here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kamala-Trump-Debate-Bingo-2.png

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any row/column/diagonal of 5 squares on this market's bingo card is completely filled. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For a row to be filled, the event in each square must have occurred, and the associated Polymarket event must have resolved to "Yes". The Free Space is counted as filled by default. A full row can be horizontal, vertical, or diagonal.

If the debate does not take place on September 10, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the resolution of the Polymarket events associated with each square on the bingo card.

The specific rules associated with each event can be found below:
-https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-kamala-say-at-the-debate
-https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-at-the-debate

Volume

$47,130

End Date

Sep 10, 2024

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Comments (8)
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Beware of external links, they may be phishing attacks.

Kalags

Kalags

7mo ago

This market is accurately priced, if we look at data from the 2 corresponding markets. The spread here is merely a result of the event not happening. Good point for "No" tickets here.

Kalags

Kalags

7mo ago

Time to buy some tickets whooooo!

Given the odds of the market for each word the last time I checked, this should be at 35c oro

With a simple formula treating each square as an independent event(mostly true) we can calculate the probability of each row and then the overall probability

Kalags

Kalags

7mo ago

@FrankyFourFi...

I actually did this and it went to 24,9%

nook

7mo ago

is DUMFAG DECRAPP here? buying 30 cent LOSING shares for 60 cents like he did the last debate??

RB-79K_BALL

I am thinking the "g" row has promise. other than that i dont see the other ways winning

Clever. But screw polymarket word games.

Outcome: No