Flamengo's strong home form at the Maracanã, including six wins in their last seven Brasileirão Série A matches there, drives trader consensus to a 64.5% implied probability for a Rubro-Negro victory against Bahia, despite key midfield absences from Erick Pulgar's four-match ban, Jorginho's calf injury, and Jorge Carrascal's suspension extended by STJD on April 17. The second-placed hosts, with 20 points and a +8 goal difference, enter off four straight wins across competitions, including a 4-1 Copa Libertadores rout of Independiente Medellín midweek, showcasing attacking depth via Pedro, Paquetá, and De Arrascaeta. Fifth-placed Bahia, also on 20 points with elite away form (four wins in five road games), holds upset potential at 13.5% amid coach Rogério Ceni's suspension and defensive injuries to Kanu and Ruan Pablo, while a draw trades at 22.5% reflecting their recent 1-0 head-to-head win.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf CR Flamengo wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If CR Flamengo wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Flamengo's strong home form at the Maracanã, including six wins in their last seven Brasileirão Série A matches there, drives trader consensus to a 64.5% implied probability for a Rubro-Negro victory against Bahia, despite key midfield absences from Erick Pulgar's four-match ban, Jorginho's calf injury, and Jorge Carrascal's suspension extended by STJD on April 17. The second-placed hosts, with 20 points and a +8 goal difference, enter off four straight wins across competitions, including a 4-1 Copa Libertadores rout of Independiente Medellín midweek, showcasing attacking depth via Pedro, Paquetá, and De Arrascaeta. Fifth-placed Bahia, also on 20 points with elite away form (four wins in five road games), holds upset potential at 13.5% amid coach Rogério Ceni's suspension and defensive injuries to Kanu and Ruan Pablo, while a draw trades at 22.5% reflecting their recent 1-0 head-to-head win.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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