Scottie Scheffler's status as world No. 1 and recent dominance, including victories at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, Players Championship, and 2024 Masters defense, anchors his 17.5% implied probability atop the Augusta National winner market, reflecting trader confidence in his elite ball-striking and composure on Augusta's demanding layout. Rory McIlroy trails at 8.5% amid career grand slam pursuit, bolstered by strong early 2024 form but haunted by past Sunday collapses here; Bryson DeChambeau and Jon Rahm share 6.5%, with DeChambeau's power game suiting the course and Rahm's 2023 title offset by LIV Golf rust concerns. Ludvig Aberg (5.3%) emerges as a breakout threat via precise iron play, differentiating the top tier in this wide-open field vulnerable to putting woes and weather shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 18%
Rory McIlroy 9%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
Jon Rahm 6.5%
$52,622,082 Vol.
$52,622,082 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Rory McIlroy
9%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Jon Rahm
6%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Xander Schauffele
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Brooks Koepka
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 18%
Rory McIlroy 9%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
Jon Rahm 6.5%
$52,622,082 Vol.
$52,622,082 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Rory McIlroy
9%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Jon Rahm
6%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Xander Schauffele
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Brooks Koepka
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's status as world No. 1 and recent dominance, including victories at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, Players Championship, and 2024 Masters defense, anchors his 17.5% implied probability atop the Augusta National winner market, reflecting trader confidence in his elite ball-striking and composure on Augusta's demanding layout. Rory McIlroy trails at 8.5% amid career grand slam pursuit, bolstered by strong early 2024 form but haunted by past Sunday collapses here; Bryson DeChambeau and Jon Rahm share 6.5%, with DeChambeau's power game suiting the course and Rahm's 2023 title offset by LIV Golf rust concerns. Ludvig Aberg (5.3%) emerges as a breakout threat via precise iron play, differentiating the top tier in this wide-open field vulnerable to putting woes and weather shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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