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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 15%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$63,855,628 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 15%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$63,855,628 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$897,188 Vol.

15%

Bryson Dechambeau

$247,679 Vol.

8%

Jon Rahm

$472,759 Vol.

7%

Rory McIlroy

$200,179 Vol.

7%

Xander Schauffele

$8,448,255 Vol.

5%

Ludvig Aberg

$392,229 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,388,281 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,784,319 Vol.

3%

Tommy Fleetwood

$278,314 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$415,075 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$405,753 Vol.

3%

Akshay Bhatia

$349,201 Vol.

2%

Collin Morikawa

$322,094 Vol.

2%

Min Woo Lee

$704,373 Vol.

2%

Jordan Spieth

$4,843,509 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$219,722 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$210,506 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$5,005,199 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$325,201 Vol.

2%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,080,178 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,671,581 Vol.

1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$306,780 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$825,066 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$171,371 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,798,806 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,274,105 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$205,025 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$273,345 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$274,230 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,637,439 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$235,345 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$166,296 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$152,887 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$165,065 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$226,464 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$140,210 Vol.

1%

Will Zalatoris

$298,961 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$295,020 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$452,443 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$162,826 Vol.

<1%

Keegan Bradley

$340,063 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$326,624 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$298,100 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$494,561 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$288,741 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$522,570 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$405,738 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$221,566 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$509,697 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$737,250 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$398,701 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$676,021 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$831,223 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$469,099 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$998,938 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$670,982 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$322,464 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$920,879 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$700,008 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's two green jackets from 2022 and 2024, combined with his world No. 1 ranking and elite strokes gained tee-to-green stats, anchor trader consensus at 14.5% implied probability to repeat at Augusta National, though his recent Houston Open withdrawal for rest underscores a cautious approach. The field remains tightly contested, with Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) leveraging power off the tee suited to Augusta's length, Jon Rahm (7.4%) riding leading 2026 strokes gained metrics and his 2023 victory, and Rory McIlroy (6.5%) pursuing the career grand slam post-back injury recovery. Collin Morikawa's back issue prompting a Valero Texas Open withdrawal has tempered enthusiasm for mid-tier contenders, while mild weather forecasts favor low scores in this unpredictable major.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$63,855,628
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's two green jackets from 2022 and 2024, combined with his world No. 1 ranking and elite strokes gained tee-to-green stats, anchor trader consensus at 14.5% implied probability to repeat at Augusta National, though his recent Houston Open withdrawal for rest underscores a cautious approach. The field remains tightly contested, with Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) leveraging power off the tee suited to Augusta's length, Jon Rahm (7.4%) riding leading 2026 strokes gained metrics and his 2023 victory, and Rory McIlroy (6.5%) pursuing the career grand slam post-back injury recovery. Collin Morikawa's back issue prompting a Valero Texas Open withdrawal has tempered enthusiasm for mid-tier contenders, while mild weather forecasts favor low scores in this unpredictable major.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$63,855,628
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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36%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, followed by "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $63.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.