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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 15%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$63,419,716 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 15%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$63,419,716 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$849,322 Vol.

15%

Bryson Dechambeau

$242,952 Vol.

8%

Jon Rahm

$457,866 Vol.

7%

Rory McIlroy

$194,214 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$377,483 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,432,260 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,375,768 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,774,464 Vol.

4%

Tommy Fleetwood

$275,302 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$413,781 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$404,796 Vol.

3%

Collin Morikawa

$314,419 Vol.

3%

Akshay Bhatia

$334,429 Vol.

2%

Min Woo Lee

$703,239 Vol.

2%

Jordan Spieth

$4,835,454 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$207,914 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$218,598 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$5,001,741 Vol.

2%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,074,821 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$324,539 Vol.

2%

Russell Henley

$824,945 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,668,482 Vol.

1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$301,208 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$164,901 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$273,969 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,272,311 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,631,262 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,787,826 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$249,635 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$204,607 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$234,904 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$165,813 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$152,317 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$140,132 Vol.

1%

Davis Thompson

$736,583 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$164,353 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$222,026 Vol.

1%

Will Zalatoris

$297,016 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$293,459 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$447,200 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$161,711 Vol.

<1%

Keegan Bradley

$337,351 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$323,641 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$507,305 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$293,866 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$494,181 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$520,978 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$400,771 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$219,898 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$283,509 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$393,142 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$674,344 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$828,301 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$463,804 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$921,066 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$657,065 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$289,717 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$912,183 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$698,261 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 14.5% implied probability stems from his world No. 1 ball-striking dominance, two prior green jackets, and unmatched strokes gained tee-to-green suited to Augusta National's firm, fast conditions and demanding par-5s. Bryson DeChambeau's recent surge—two straight LIV wins, including a playoff victory over Jon Rahm last week—has traders pricing him at 7.5%, while Rahm's contending form holds him at 7.3%. Rory McIlroy's career grand slam chase at 6.5% adds intrigue amid a deep field with strong course histories like Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele. Collin Morikawa's last-minute back injury withdrawal from the Valero Texas Open introduces uncertainty, but no overwhelming favorite emerges, keeping the top tightly bunched in this unpredictable major where upsets thrive.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$63,419,716
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 14.5% implied probability stems from his world No. 1 ball-striking dominance, two prior green jackets, and unmatched strokes gained tee-to-green suited to Augusta National's firm, fast conditions and demanding par-5s. Bryson DeChambeau's recent surge—two straight LIV wins, including a playoff victory over Jon Rahm last week—has traders pricing him at 7.5%, while Rahm's contending form holds him at 7.3%. Rory McIlroy's career grand slam chase at 6.5% adds intrigue amid a deep field with strong course histories like Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele. Collin Morikawa's last-minute back injury withdrawal from the Valero Texas Open introduces uncertainty, but no overwhelming favorite emerges, keeping the top tightly bunched in this unpredictable major where upsets thrive.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$63,419,716
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, followed by "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $63.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.