Scottie Scheffler's elite ball-striking and recent PGA Tour dominance, including a win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, anchor his 17.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite at Augusta National, where precision around Amen Corner separates contenders. Rory McIlroy's 9.5% share reflects his scorching early-season form with victories in Dubai and the Players, yet lingers behind due to a decade-long Masters drought despite superior driving distance. Bryson DeChambeau and Jon Rahm, both at 6.5%, differentiate via power and major pedigree—Bryson's LIV momentum and Rahm's defending champion status—but face scrutiny over limited PGA tune-ups. Ludvig Aberg's rapid rise adds upside in this wide-open field, buoyed by strong approach play in debut majors. Recent injury reports show no major setbacks for leaders, with benign weather forecasts stabilizing odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 18%
Rory McIlroy 10%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
Jon Rahm 6.5%
$50,642,941 Vol.
$50,642,941 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Rory McIlroy
10%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Jon Rahm
7%
Ludvig Aberg
6%
Xander Schauffele
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Justin Rose
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Sergio Garcia
1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 18%
Rory McIlroy 10%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
Jon Rahm 6.5%
$50,642,941 Vol.
$50,642,941 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Rory McIlroy
10%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Jon Rahm
7%
Ludvig Aberg
6%
Xander Schauffele
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Justin Rose
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Sergio Garcia
1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's elite ball-striking and recent PGA Tour dominance, including a win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, anchor his 17.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite at Augusta National, where precision around Amen Corner separates contenders. Rory McIlroy's 9.5% share reflects his scorching early-season form with victories in Dubai and the Players, yet lingers behind due to a decade-long Masters drought despite superior driving distance. Bryson DeChambeau and Jon Rahm, both at 6.5%, differentiate via power and major pedigree—Bryson's LIV momentum and Rahm's defending champion status—but face scrutiny over limited PGA tune-ups. Ludvig Aberg's rapid rise adds upside in this wide-open field, buoyed by strong approach play in debut majors. Recent injury reports show no major setbacks for leaders, with benign weather forecasts stabilizing odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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