Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability for the Masters at Augusta National, reflecting his elite course history with two green jackets, superior approach play, and par-5 scoring despite a recent withdrawal from the Houston Open for family reasons and mixed March results including a strong Players Championship rebound. Bryson DeChambeau's 7.5% follows hot LIV form with back-to-back wins, including a playoff over Jon Rahm in South Africa, showcasing dialed irons suited to Augusta's demands. Rahm (7.3%) leverages past champion pedigree and LIV consistency, while Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the 2025 defender, eyes a repeat amid solid top-10 streak. Ludvig Aberg (5.3%) and Matt Fitzpatrick (5.1%, fresh Valspar winner) highlight rising momentum in this wide-open field where precision trumps power amid uncertain Tiger Woods participation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.3%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$60,917,644 Vol.
$60,917,644 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Jordan Spieth
3%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Adam Scott
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Max Homa
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.3%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$60,917,644 Vol.
$60,917,644 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Jordan Spieth
3%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Adam Scott
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Max Homa
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability for the Masters at Augusta National, reflecting his elite course history with two green jackets, superior approach play, and par-5 scoring despite a recent withdrawal from the Houston Open for family reasons and mixed March results including a strong Players Championship rebound. Bryson DeChambeau's 7.5% follows hot LIV form with back-to-back wins, including a playoff over Jon Rahm in South Africa, showcasing dialed irons suited to Augusta's demands. Rahm (7.3%) leverages past champion pedigree and LIV consistency, while Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the 2025 defender, eyes a repeat amid solid top-10 streak. Ludvig Aberg (5.3%) and Matt Fitzpatrick (5.1%, fresh Valspar winner) highlight rising momentum in this wide-open field where precision trumps power amid uncertain Tiger Woods participation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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