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icon for Anthropic IPO by __?
Finance·IPO

Anthropic IPO by __?

icon for Anthropic IPO by __?
Finance·IPO

Anthropic IPO by __?

$3,694,202 Vol.

Jun 30, 2027
Polymarket

$3,694,202 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30, 2026

$1,067,738 Vol.

<1%

October 15, 2026

$121,159 Vol.

<1%

October 31, 2026

$1,022,291 Vol.

4%

November 15, 2026

$55,612 Vol.

31%

November 30, 2026

$95,764 Vol.

57%

December 15, 2026

$74,196 Vol.

74%

December 31, 2026

$824,280 Vol.

80%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s push toward a November 2026 Nasdaq listing, delayed from October to incorporate third-quarter results, reflects accelerating revenue momentum that underpins current trader positioning. Annualized recurring revenue climbed above $65 billion by July and is projected to exceed $100 billion by year-end, driven by Claude adoption and expanded compute agreements with hyperscalers. This trajectory supports discussions of a roughly $2 trillion valuation and up to $100 billion in proceeds, positioning the IPO as potentially one of the largest on record. Lead underwriters Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, and Citi are finalizing a $15 billion revolving credit facility ahead of a late-September S-1 release and mid-October roadshow. Market-implied odds price in high likelihood of a 2026 debut, tempered by execution risks around margins, regulatory disclosures, and broader equity sentiment ahead of the U.S. midterms.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,694,202
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s push toward a November 2026 Nasdaq listing, delayed from October to incorporate third-quarter results, reflects accelerating revenue momentum that underpins current trader positioning. Annualized recurring revenue climbed above $65 billion by July and is projected to exceed $100 billion by year-end, driven by Claude adoption and expanded compute agreements with hyperscalers. This trajectory supports discussions of a roughly $2 trillion valuation and up to $100 billion in proceeds, positioning the IPO as potentially one of the largest on record. Lead underwriters Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, and Citi are finalizing a $15 billion revolving credit facility ahead of a late-September S-1 release and mid-October roadshow. Market-implied odds price in high likelihood of a 2026 debut, tempered by execution risks around margins, regulatory disclosures, and broader equity sentiment ahead of the U.S. midterms.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,694,202
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Anthropic IPO by __?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31, 2026" at 80%, followed by "December 15, 2026" at 74%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Anthropic IPO by __?" has generated $3.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Anthropic IPO by __?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Anthropic IPO by __?" is "December 31, 2026" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "December 15, 2026" at 74%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Anthropic IPO by __?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.