Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Amazon (AMZN) shares closing the week of March 30 in a narrow $195-$210 band, with $200-$205, $195-$200, and $205-$210 each at 21-21.5% implied probabilities, reflecting heightened uncertainty after a volatile week capped by a 3.9% plunge to $199.34 on March 27 amid macro pressures and skepticism over the company's $200 billion 2026 capital expenditure guidance—up sharply from $132 billion in 2025—geared toward AWS AI infrastructure. This spending, framed by CEO Andy Jassy as essential for cloud dominance, has intensified margin concerns despite robust AWS demand, contrasting with e-commerce stability and competitive positioning against Microsoft and Alphabet in the AI arms race. Key swing factors include broader tech rotation and upcoming Q1 earnings on April 30, which could clarify capex returns versus profitability trade-offs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$200-$205 24%
$205-$210 22%
$195-$200 20%
$190-$195 10%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
<$185
4%
$185-$190
7%
$190-$195
10%
$195-$200
20%
$200-$205
24%
$205-$210
22%
$210-$215
9%
$215-$220
3%
$220-$225
6%
$225-$230
6%
>$230
2%
$200-$205 24%
$205-$210 22%
$195-$200 20%
$190-$195 10%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
<$185
$182 Vol.
4%
$185-$190
$1,830 Vol.
7%
$190-$195
$0 Vol.
10%
$195-$200
$1,008 Vol.
20%
$200-$205
$1,552 Vol.
24%
$205-$210
$0 Vol.
22%
$210-$215
$314 Vol.
9%
$215-$220
$0 Vol.
3%
$220-$225
$850 Vol.
6%
$225-$230
$23 Vol.
6%
>$230
$130 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Amazon (AMZN) shares closing the week of March 30 in a narrow $195-$210 band, with $200-$205, $195-$200, and $205-$210 each at 21-21.5% implied probabilities, reflecting heightened uncertainty after a volatile week capped by a 3.9% plunge to $199.34 on March 27 amid macro pressures and skepticism over the company's $200 billion 2026 capital expenditure guidance—up sharply from $132 billion in 2025—geared toward AWS AI infrastructure. This spending, framed by CEO Andy Jassy as essential for cloud dominance, has intensified margin concerns despite robust AWS demand, contrasting with e-commerce stability and competitive positioning against Microsoft and Alphabet in the AI arms race. Key swing factors include broader tech rotation and upcoming Q1 earnings on April 30, which could clarify capex returns versus profitability trade-offs.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$5,889End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Amazon (AMZN) shares closing the week of March 30 in a narrow $195-$210 band, with $200-$205, $195-$200, and $205-$210 each at 21-21.5% implied probabilities, reflecting heightened uncertainty after a volatile week capped by a 3.9% plunge to $199.34 on March 27 amid macro pressures and skepticism over the company's $200 billion 2026 capital expenditure guidance—up sharply from $132 billion in 2025—geared toward AWS AI infrastructure. This spending, framed by CEO Andy Jassy as essential for cloud dominance, has intensified margin concerns despite robust AWS demand, contrasting with e-commerce stability and competitive positioning against Microsoft and Alphabet in the AI arms race. Key swing factors include broader tech rotation and upcoming Q1 earnings on April 30, which could clarify capex returns versus profitability trade-offs.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$5,889End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Amazon (AMZN) shares closing the week of March 30 in a narrow $195-$210 band, with $200-$205, $195-$200, and $205-$210 each at 21-21.5% implied probabilities, reflecting heightened uncertainty after a volatile week capped by a 3.9% plunge to $199.34 on March 27 amid macro pressures and skepticism over the company's $200 billion 2026 capital expenditure guidance—up sharply from $132 billion in 2025—geared toward AWS AI infrastructure. This spending, framed by CEO Andy Jassy as essential for cloud dominance, has intensified margin concerns despite robust AWS demand, contrasting with e-commerce stability and competitive positioning against Microsoft and Alphabet in the AI arms race. Key swing factors include broader tech rotation and upcoming Q1 earnings on April 30, which could clarify capex returns versus profitability trade-offs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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