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Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Market icon
Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Aryna Sabalenka 30%

Elena Rybakina 15.5%

Iga Swiatek 11%

Linda Noskova 9.7%

Polymarket

$973,168 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka 30%

Elena Rybakina 15.5%

Iga Swiatek 11%

Linda Noskova 9.7%

Polymarket

$973,168 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka

$2,994 Vol.

30%

Elena Rybakina

$59,458 Vol.

16%

Iga Swiatek

$1,457 Vol.

11%

Linda Noskova

$1,232 Vol.

10%

Coco Gauff

$6,842 Vol.

6%

Jessica Pegula

$77,930 Vol.

4%

Diana Shnaider

$21,017 Vol.

4%

Mirra Andreeva

$15,355 Vol.

3%

Amanda Anisimova

$47,970 Vol.

2%

Daria Kasatkina

$1,589 Vol.

2%

Karolina Muchova

$910 Vol.

2%

Elina Svitolina

$969 Vol.

2%

Madison Keys

$839 Vol.

1%

Victoria Mboko

$1,079 Vol.

6%

Naomi Osaka

$883 Vol.

1%

Elise Mertens

$17,247 Vol.

1%

Liudmila Samsonova

$11,427 Vol.

1%

Alexandra Eala

$242,175 Vol.

1%

Emma Raducanu

$39,663 Vol.

1%

Emma Navarro

$13,686 Vol.

1%

Donna Vekic

$18,294 Vol.

1%

Xiyu Wang

$17,035 Vol.

1%

Tereza Valentova

$214,353 Vol.

1%

Paula Badosa

$5,802 Vol.

1%

Jasmine Paolini

$637 Vol.

1%

Maya Joint

$28,613 Vol.

1%

Ekaterina Alexandrova

$6,457 Vol.

1%

Katie Boulter

$47,591 Vol.

1%

Belinda Bencic

$751 Vol.

1%

Sofia Kenin

$670 Vol.

1%

Clara Tauson

$764 Vol.

1%

Anastasia Potapova

$1,028 Vol.

<1%

Qinwen Zheng

$816 Vol.

<1%

Ashlyn Krueger

$17,149 Vol.

<1%

Barbora Krejcikova

$809 Vol.

<1%

Marketa Vondrousova

$579 Vol.

<1%

Jelena Ostapenko

$762 Vol.

<1%

Dayana Yastremska

$1,022 Vol.

<1%

Marie Bouzkova

$21,239 Vol.

<1%

Beatriz Haddad Maia

$24,078 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka leads trader consensus at 30% implied probability for the 2026 US Open title, fueled by her dominant hard-court form including the Sunshine Double sweep at Indian Wells and Miami in March, where she outlasted Elena Rybakina in the latter final and posted a 23-1 record early season despite an Australian Open final loss to the same opponent. Rybakina's 15.6% follows her AO major triumph and ongoing Stuttgart clay semis run, affirming her all-surface threat on the fast New York hard courts. Iga Swiatek trails at 10.5% amid a sluggish hard-court start with early Sunshine Double exits, while risers like Linda Noskova (Stuttgart QF last week) and teen sensation Victoria Mboko (Miami QF, recent top-10 ranking) reflect momentum amid Sabalenka's minor post-Miami injury pulling her from clay events.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$973,168
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka leads trader consensus at 30% implied probability for the 2026 US Open title, fueled by her dominant hard-court form including the Sunshine Double sweep at Indian Wells and Miami in March, where she outlasted Elena Rybakina in the latter final and posted a 23-1 record early season despite an Australian Open final loss to the same opponent. Rybakina's 15.6% follows her AO major triumph and ongoing Stuttgart clay semis run, affirming her all-surface threat on the fast New York hard courts. Iga Swiatek trails at 10.5% amid a sluggish hard-court start with early Sunshine Double exits, while risers like Linda Noskova (Stuttgart QF last week) and teen sensation Victoria Mboko (Miami QF, recent top-10 ranking) reflect momentum amid Sabalenka's minor post-Miami injury pulling her from clay events.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$973,168
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 30%, followed by "Elena Rybakina" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $973.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elena Rybakina" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.