Trader consensus crowns Sung-Jae Im the clear Valspar Championship favorite at 39.3% implied probability, driven by his multi-stroke lead atop the Copperhead Resort leaderboard after 54 holes, fueled by elite ball-striking and 36-hole low rounds. Ze-Cheng Dou (23.7%) and Thorbjorn Olesen (22.6%) trail closely with hot putting stretches and approach gains, positioning them as prime challengers in the final round. Matt Fitzpatrick's (20.5%) course mastery as 2022 winner bolsters his case amid steady irons play, while Seong-Hyeon Kim (19.8%) rides recent form. No major injuries reported, but Copperhead's demanding Pete Dye layout amplifies Sunday volatility and rest advantages for leaders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedSung-Jae Im 39.2%
Matt Fitzpatrick 21.4%
Marco Penge 10.4%
David Lipsky 9.3%
$125,724 Vol.
$125,724 Vol.
Sung-Jae Im
39%
Matt Fitzpatrick
21%
Marco Penge
10%
David Lipsky
9%
Corey Conners
2%
Tom Kim
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Chandler Blanchet
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
John Parry
1%
Matthieu Pavon
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
Kevin Roy
1%
Isaiah Salinda
1%
Matthias Schmid
1%
Davis Chatfield
1%
Patrick Fishburn
1%
Doug Ghim
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
Kensei Hirata
1%
Lee Hodges
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Blades Brown
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Rico Hoey
<1%
Xander Schauffele
<1%
A.J. Ewart
<1%
David Ford
<1%
Takumi Kanaya
<1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
<1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
Henry Lebioda
<1%
Robert MacIntyre
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
18%
Max Greyserman
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
<1%
Sung-Jae Im 39.2%
Matt Fitzpatrick 21.4%
Marco Penge 10.4%
David Lipsky 9.3%
$125,724 Vol.
$125,724 Vol.
Sung-Jae Im
39%
Matt Fitzpatrick
21%
Marco Penge
10%
David Lipsky
9%
Corey Conners
2%
Tom Kim
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Chandler Blanchet
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
John Parry
1%
Matthieu Pavon
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
Kevin Roy
1%
Isaiah Salinda
1%
Matthias Schmid
1%
Davis Chatfield
1%
Patrick Fishburn
1%
Doug Ghim
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
Kensei Hirata
1%
Lee Hodges
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Blades Brown
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Rico Hoey
<1%
Xander Schauffele
<1%
A.J. Ewart
<1%
David Ford
<1%
Takumi Kanaya
<1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
<1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
Henry Lebioda
<1%
Robert MacIntyre
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
18%
Max Greyserman
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
<1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valspar Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Valspar Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by March 28, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus crowns Sung-Jae Im the clear Valspar Championship favorite at 39.3% implied probability, driven by his multi-stroke lead atop the Copperhead Resort leaderboard after 54 holes, fueled by elite ball-striking and 36-hole low rounds. Ze-Cheng Dou (23.7%) and Thorbjorn Olesen (22.6%) trail closely with hot putting stretches and approach gains, positioning them as prime challengers in the final round. Matt Fitzpatrick's (20.5%) course mastery as 2022 winner bolsters his case amid steady irons play, while Seong-Hyeon Kim (19.8%) rides recent form. No major injuries reported, but Copperhead's demanding Pete Dye layout amplifies Sunday volatility and rest advantages for leaders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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