Tight leaderboard margins after 54 holes at Innisbrook's Copperhead Course have traders pricing a bunched race atop the Valspar Championship market, with Thorbjorn Olesen and Blades Brown tied for the lead at 11-under, Ze-Cheng Dou, Henry Lebioda, and Sung-Jae Im one back. Olesen's precise iron play and Brown's hot putter mirror recent rounds where birdies flowed amid calm conditions, but Sunday pressure at this accuracy-testing layout often sparks volatility—witness past upsets like Sam Burns' 2021 win. Established contenders like Seong-Hyeon Kim (two back) and Matt Fitzpatrick (five back) add depth, embodying the wisdom of crowds in these fluid final-round dynamics where momentum trumps pedigree.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedSung-Jae Im 21.0%
Matt Fitzpatrick 12.5%
Jacob Bridgeman 6.4%
Chandler Blanchet 6.3%
$131,311 Vol.
$131,311 Vol.
Sung-Jae Im
21%
Matt Fitzpatrick
13%
Jacob Bridgeman
6%
Chandler Blanchet
6%
David Lipsky
6%
Brooks Koepka
6%
Doug Ghim
6%
Marco Penge
4%
Corey Conners
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Xander Schauffele
2%
Patrick Cantlay
2%
Tony Finau
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
Tom Kim
1%
Patrick Fishburn
1%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Davis Chatfield
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
Kensei Hirata
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Blades Brown
1%
Matthieu Pavon
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
Isaiah Salinda
1%
David Ford
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
Chandler Phillips
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
Kevin Roy
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Lee Hodges
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
Takumi Kanaya
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Matthias Schmid
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
Henry Lebioda
<1%
Robert MacIntyre
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
<1%
Sung-Jae Im 21.0%
Matt Fitzpatrick 12.5%
Jacob Bridgeman 6.4%
Chandler Blanchet 6.3%
$131,311 Vol.
$131,311 Vol.
Sung-Jae Im
21%
Matt Fitzpatrick
13%
Jacob Bridgeman
6%
Chandler Blanchet
6%
David Lipsky
6%
Brooks Koepka
6%
Doug Ghim
6%
Marco Penge
4%
Corey Conners
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Xander Schauffele
2%
Patrick Cantlay
2%
Tony Finau
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
Tom Kim
1%
Patrick Fishburn
1%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Davis Chatfield
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
Kensei Hirata
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Blades Brown
1%
Matthieu Pavon
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
Isaiah Salinda
1%
David Ford
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
Chandler Phillips
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
Kevin Roy
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Lee Hodges
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
Takumi Kanaya
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Matthias Schmid
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
Henry Lebioda
<1%
Robert MacIntyre
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
<1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valspar Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Valspar Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by March 28, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight leaderboard margins after 54 holes at Innisbrook's Copperhead Course have traders pricing a bunched race atop the Valspar Championship market, with Thorbjorn Olesen and Blades Brown tied for the lead at 11-under, Ze-Cheng Dou, Henry Lebioda, and Sung-Jae Im one back. Olesen's precise iron play and Brown's hot putter mirror recent rounds where birdies flowed amid calm conditions, but Sunday pressure at this accuracy-testing layout often sparks volatility—witness past upsets like Sam Burns' 2021 win. Established contenders like Seong-Hyeon Kim (two back) and Matt Fitzpatrick (five back) add depth, embodying the wisdom of crowds in these fluid final-round dynamics where momentum trumps pedigree.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions