Trader consensus crowns Sung-Jae Im as the clear favorite at 41.2% implied probability, buoyed by his two-shot lead after 54 holes at -11 on the demanding Copperhead Course, where his elite ball-striking (top-5 strokes gained approach) neutralizes the layout's Copperhead Course challenges. Andrew Novak's 30.2% reflects his hot streak, firing a third-round 66 to sit two back, leveraging superior putting amid favorable scoring conditions. Rasmus Hojgaard (27.5%) surges on debut form with precise irons, while Christiaan Bezuidenhout (25.1%) and Kensei Hirata (24.2%) gain from steady tee-to-green play and recent momentum. Absent top stars like Scheffler post-masters prep shifts volume to mid-pack leaders, with final-round tee times and light winds as key variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedSung-Jae Im 41.2%
Matt Fitzpatrick 19.7%
Marco Penge 9.8%
David Lipsky 8.3%
$120,950 Vol.
$120,950 Vol.
Sung-Jae Im
41%
Matt Fitzpatrick
20%
Marco Penge
10%
David Lipsky
8%
Doug Ghim
5%
Davis Chatfield
4%
Pierceson Coody
3%
Tom Kim
3%
Rico Hoey
3%
Chandler Blanchet
3%
Corey Conners
3%
Jacob Bridgeman
3%
Patrick Rodgers
2%
David Ford
2%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
13%
Ryo Hisatsune
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Xander Schauffele
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Blades Brown
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Takumi Kanaya
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
Lee Hodges
<1%
Mackenzie Hughes
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
19%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Henry Lebioda
<1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Chad Ramey
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Matthias Schmid
<1%
Patrick Fishburn
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Stephan Jaeger
23%
William Mouw
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
-
Rasmus Hojgaard
27%
Andrew Novak
-
Sung-Jae Im 41.2%
Matt Fitzpatrick 19.7%
Marco Penge 9.8%
David Lipsky 8.3%
$120,950 Vol.
$120,950 Vol.
Sung-Jae Im
41%
Matt Fitzpatrick
20%
Marco Penge
10%
David Lipsky
8%
Doug Ghim
5%
Davis Chatfield
4%
Pierceson Coody
3%
Tom Kim
3%
Rico Hoey
3%
Chandler Blanchet
3%
Corey Conners
3%
Jacob Bridgeman
3%
Patrick Rodgers
2%
David Ford
2%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
13%
Ryo Hisatsune
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Xander Schauffele
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Blades Brown
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Takumi Kanaya
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
Lee Hodges
<1%
Mackenzie Hughes
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
19%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Henry Lebioda
<1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Chad Ramey
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Matthias Schmid
<1%
Patrick Fishburn
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Stephan Jaeger
23%
William Mouw
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
-
Rasmus Hojgaard
27%
Andrew Novak
-
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valspar Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Valspar Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by March 28, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus crowns Sung-Jae Im as the clear favorite at 41.2% implied probability, buoyed by his two-shot lead after 54 holes at -11 on the demanding Copperhead Course, where his elite ball-striking (top-5 strokes gained approach) neutralizes the layout's Copperhead Course challenges. Andrew Novak's 30.2% reflects his hot streak, firing a third-round 66 to sit two back, leveraging superior putting amid favorable scoring conditions. Rasmus Hojgaard (27.5%) surges on debut form with precise irons, while Christiaan Bezuidenhout (25.1%) and Kensei Hirata (24.2%) gain from steady tee-to-green play and recent momentum. Absent top stars like Scheffler post-masters prep shifts volume to mid-pack leaders, with final-round tee times and light winds as key variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions