Keith Mitchell's three-shot lead after 54 holes at -11 positions him as the clear trader favorite for a top-5 finish at the Valspar Championship, with Peter Malnati (-8) and Taylor Pendrith (-7) rounding out the chasing pack on the tight Copperhead Course. Recent momentum from Mitchell's bogey-free weekend and Malnati's hot putter has shifted implied probabilities, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on low-scoring potential despite windy conditions. Xander Schauffele (+800 pre-tourney) lurks at T5 (-6) with strong course history, while Jordan Spieth's inconsistent ball-striking caps his upside. Final-round tee times favor early starters, but Innisbrook's demanding greens and past upsets underscore outcome uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$6,894 Vol.
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
100%
Jacob Bridgeman
99%
Corey Conners
99%
A.J. Ewart
99%
Tony Finau
99%
Patrick Fishburn
99%
Matt Fitzpatrick
99%
Takumi Kanaya
99%
David Lipsky
99%
Patrick Cantlay
99%
Ricky Castillo
99%
Doug Ghim
99%
Emiliano Grillo
99%
Kensei Hirata
99%
Ryo Hisatsune
99%
Rico Hoey
99%
Nicolai Hojgaard
99%
Sung-Jae Im
99%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
99%
Henry Lebioda
99%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
99%
Marco Penge
99%
Patrick Rodgers
99%
Kevin Roy
99%
Isaiah Salinda
99%
Chandler Blanchet
98%
Davis Chatfield
98%
Chad Ramey
98%
Xander Schauffele
98%
Blades Brown
97%
Tom Kim
97%
Brooks Koepka
97%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
94%
Lee Hodges
89%
Stephan Jaeger
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Andrew Novak
50%
John Parry
50%
Matthieu Pavon
50%
David Ford
45%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Matthias Schmid
1%
Chandler Phillips
-
$6,894 Vol.
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
100%
Jacob Bridgeman
99%
Corey Conners
99%
A.J. Ewart
99%
Tony Finau
99%
Patrick Fishburn
99%
Matt Fitzpatrick
99%
Takumi Kanaya
99%
David Lipsky
99%
Patrick Cantlay
99%
Ricky Castillo
99%
Doug Ghim
99%
Emiliano Grillo
99%
Kensei Hirata
99%
Ryo Hisatsune
99%
Rico Hoey
99%
Nicolai Hojgaard
99%
Sung-Jae Im
99%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
99%
Henry Lebioda
99%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
99%
Marco Penge
99%
Patrick Rodgers
99%
Kevin Roy
99%
Isaiah Salinda
99%
Chandler Blanchet
98%
Davis Chatfield
98%
Chad Ramey
98%
Xander Schauffele
98%
Blades Brown
97%
Tom Kim
97%
Brooks Koepka
97%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
94%
Lee Hodges
89%
Stephan Jaeger
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Andrew Novak
50%
John Parry
50%
Matthieu Pavon
50%
David Ford
45%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Matthias Schmid
1%
Chandler Phillips
-
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Keith Mitchell's three-shot lead after 54 holes at -11 positions him as the clear trader favorite for a top-5 finish at the Valspar Championship, with Peter Malnati (-8) and Taylor Pendrith (-7) rounding out the chasing pack on the tight Copperhead Course. Recent momentum from Mitchell's bogey-free weekend and Malnati's hot putter has shifted implied probabilities, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on low-scoring potential despite windy conditions. Xander Schauffele (+800 pre-tourney) lurks at T5 (-6) with strong course history, while Jordan Spieth's inconsistent ball-striking caps his upside. Final-round tee times favor early starters, but Innisbrook's demanding greens and past upsets underscore outcome uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions