Ryo Maruyama, Denny McCarthy, and Sungjae Im's three-way tie for the lead at 5-under after 36 holes at Innisbrook's Copperhead Course drives the highest implied probabilities for a top-5 finish in trader consensus. McCarthy's elite putting (No. 1 strokes gained) and Im's ball-striking precision have shone in windy Round 2 conditions, while Maruyama surges as a surprise with flawless short game. Russell Henley lurks one back at 4-under, and big names like Xander Schauffele (T17 at 2-under) face uphill climbs amid the field's volatility. No key injuries reported, but calmer Round 3 weather and the notoriously tough Snake Pit closing stretch could amplify leaders' edges or spark upsets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$17,273 Vol.
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
100%
Chandler Phillips
100%
Chandler Blanchet
99%
Jacob Bridgeman
99%
Corey Conners
99%
Pierceson Coody
99%
Ze-Cheng Dou
99%
A.J. Ewart
99%
Tony Finau
99%
Patrick Fishburn
99%
Matt Fitzpatrick
99%
Takumi Kanaya
99%
David Lipsky
99%
Patrick Cantlay
99%
Ricky Castillo
99%
Bud Cauley
99%
Doug Ghim
99%
Emiliano Grillo
99%
Kensei Hirata
99%
Ryo Hisatsune
99%
Rico Hoey
99%
Rasmus Hojgaard
99%
Sung-Jae Im
99%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
99%
Tom Kim
99%
Brooks Koepka
99%
Henry Lebioda
99%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
99%
Marco Penge
99%
Chad Ramey
99%
Patrick Rodgers
99%
Kevin Roy
99%
Isaiah Salinda
99%
Xander Schauffele
99%
Davis Chatfield
98%
David Ford
98%
Blades Brown
97%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
94%
Lee Hodges
90%
Nicolai Hojgaard
50%
Billy Horschel
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Andrew Novak
50%
John Parry
50%
Matthieu Pavon
50%
Keith Mitchell
5%
Max Greyserman
3%
Mackenzie Hughes
2%
Keegan Bradley
2%
Matthias Schmid
1%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
$17,273 Vol.
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
100%
Chandler Phillips
100%
Chandler Blanchet
99%
Jacob Bridgeman
99%
Corey Conners
99%
Pierceson Coody
99%
Ze-Cheng Dou
99%
A.J. Ewart
99%
Tony Finau
99%
Patrick Fishburn
99%
Matt Fitzpatrick
99%
Takumi Kanaya
99%
David Lipsky
99%
Patrick Cantlay
99%
Ricky Castillo
99%
Bud Cauley
99%
Doug Ghim
99%
Emiliano Grillo
99%
Kensei Hirata
99%
Ryo Hisatsune
99%
Rico Hoey
99%
Rasmus Hojgaard
99%
Sung-Jae Im
99%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
99%
Tom Kim
99%
Brooks Koepka
99%
Henry Lebioda
99%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
99%
Marco Penge
99%
Chad Ramey
99%
Patrick Rodgers
99%
Kevin Roy
99%
Isaiah Salinda
99%
Xander Schauffele
99%
Davis Chatfield
98%
David Ford
98%
Blades Brown
97%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
94%
Lee Hodges
90%
Nicolai Hojgaard
50%
Billy Horschel
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Andrew Novak
50%
John Parry
50%
Matthieu Pavon
50%
Keith Mitchell
5%
Max Greyserman
3%
Mackenzie Hughes
2%
Keegan Bradley
2%
Matthias Schmid
1%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ryo Maruyama, Denny McCarthy, and Sungjae Im's three-way tie for the lead at 5-under after 36 holes at Innisbrook's Copperhead Course drives the highest implied probabilities for a top-5 finish in trader consensus. McCarthy's elite putting (No. 1 strokes gained) and Im's ball-striking precision have shone in windy Round 2 conditions, while Maruyama surges as a surprise with flawless short game. Russell Henley lurks one back at 4-under, and big names like Xander Schauffele (T17 at 2-under) face uphill climbs amid the field's volatility. No key injuries reported, but calmer Round 3 weather and the notoriously tough Snake Pit closing stretch could amplify leaders' edges or spark upsets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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