Trader consensus pins highest top-5 probabilities on Xander Schauffele (around 55% implied), driven by his top-tier approach play and strong Copperhead fit, where precision on the Snake Pit finish matters most. Tony Finau (45%) and Tommy Fleetwood (40%) trail closely, bolstered by recent form—Finau T5 at Arnold Palmer, Fleetwood's ball-striking surge—and solid course histories. No major withdrawals disrupt the field post-Thursday's mild conditions, with Mackenzie Hughes leading at 6-under. Upcoming factors include rising winds Saturday favoring accurate drivers like these frontrunners, plus fatigue risks for Florida Swing grinders amid playoff positioning stakes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$17,816 Vol.
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
100%
Chandler Phillips
100%
Chandler Blanchet
100%
Jacob Bridgeman
99%
Corey Conners
99%
Pierceson Coody
99%
Ze-Cheng Dou
99%
A.J. Ewart
99%
Tony Finau
99%
Patrick Fishburn
99%
Matt Fitzpatrick
99%
Takumi Kanaya
99%
David Lipsky
99%
Patrick Cantlay
99%
Ricky Castillo
99%
Bud Cauley
99%
Davis Chatfield
99%
Doug Ghim
99%
Emiliano Grillo
99%
Kensei Hirata
99%
Ryo Hisatsune
99%
Rico Hoey
99%
Rasmus Hojgaard
99%
Sung-Jae Im
99%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
99%
Tom Kim
99%
Brooks Koepka
99%
Henry Lebioda
99%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
99%
Marco Penge
99%
Chad Ramey
99%
Patrick Rodgers
99%
Kevin Roy
99%
Isaiah Salinda
99%
Xander Schauffele
99%
Blades Brown
97%
David Ford
96%
Lee Hodges
90%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
89%
Nicolai Hojgaard
50%
Billy Horschel
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Andrew Novak
50%
John Parry
50%
Matthieu Pavon
50%
Matthias Schmid
50%
Keith Mitchell
5%
Max Greyserman
3%
Keegan Bradley
2%
Mackenzie Hughes
2%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
$17,816 Vol.
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
100%
Chandler Phillips
100%
Chandler Blanchet
100%
Jacob Bridgeman
99%
Corey Conners
99%
Pierceson Coody
99%
Ze-Cheng Dou
99%
A.J. Ewart
99%
Tony Finau
99%
Patrick Fishburn
99%
Matt Fitzpatrick
99%
Takumi Kanaya
99%
David Lipsky
99%
Patrick Cantlay
99%
Ricky Castillo
99%
Bud Cauley
99%
Davis Chatfield
99%
Doug Ghim
99%
Emiliano Grillo
99%
Kensei Hirata
99%
Ryo Hisatsune
99%
Rico Hoey
99%
Rasmus Hojgaard
99%
Sung-Jae Im
99%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
99%
Tom Kim
99%
Brooks Koepka
99%
Henry Lebioda
99%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
99%
Marco Penge
99%
Chad Ramey
99%
Patrick Rodgers
99%
Kevin Roy
99%
Isaiah Salinda
99%
Xander Schauffele
99%
Blades Brown
97%
David Ford
96%
Lee Hodges
90%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
89%
Nicolai Hojgaard
50%
Billy Horschel
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Andrew Novak
50%
John Parry
50%
Matthieu Pavon
50%
Matthias Schmid
50%
Keith Mitchell
5%
Max Greyserman
3%
Keegan Bradley
2%
Mackenzie Hughes
2%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus pins highest top-5 probabilities on Xander Schauffele (around 55% implied), driven by his top-tier approach play and strong Copperhead fit, where precision on the Snake Pit finish matters most. Tony Finau (45%) and Tommy Fleetwood (40%) trail closely, bolstered by recent form—Finau T5 at Arnold Palmer, Fleetwood's ball-striking surge—and solid course histories. No major withdrawals disrupt the field post-Thursday's mild conditions, with Mackenzie Hughes leading at 6-under. Upcoming factors include rising winds Saturday favoring accurate drivers like these frontrunners, plus fatigue risks for Florida Swing grinders amid playoff positioning stakes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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