Trader consensus reflects a wide-open Valero Texas Open field at windy TPC San Antonio Oaks Course, with no dominant favorite as top players like Ludvig Aberg and Tommy Fleetwood dial back ahead of the Masters, the final qualification opportunity via outright win. Denny McCarthy leads implied probabilities at 25% buoyed by elite strokes gained putting and T12 finish last week at Houston Open, while Pierceson Coody (22%) draws Texas native support despite recent back concerns from Houston withdrawal, Emiliano Grillo (18%) leverages ball-striking prowess, Lucas Glover (18%) veteran irons play, and Mark Hubbard (18%) steady recent form—bunching top outcomes tightly amid motivated mid-tier contenders chasing Augusta invites and course history edges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLudvig Aberg 4.9%
Tommy Fleetwood 4.8%
Russell Henley 4.5%
Si Woo Kim 4.4%
$47,393 Vol.
$47,393 Vol.
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
5%
Russell Henley
5%
Si Woo Kim
4%
Jordan Spieth
4%
Robert MacIntyre
4%
Hideki Matsuyama
4%
Rickie Fowler
3%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Denny McCarthy
25%
Keith Mitchell
2%
Johnny Keefer
2%
Charley Hoffman
2%
Alexander Noren
2%
Ryo Hisatsune
2%
Thorbjorn Olesen
2%
Mac Meissner
2%
JT Poston
2%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Marco Penge
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Brian Harman
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Austin Smotherman
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Nick Dunlap
15%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
Beau Hossler
1%
Lucas Glover
18%
Emiliano Grillo
18%
Mark Hubbard
17%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
Lee Hodges
1%
Jordan L. Smith
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Zach Bauchou
1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Seamus Power
1%
Tom Kim
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
Chris Kirk
1%
Max McGreevy
1%
Daniel Berger
1%
Hao-Tong Li
1%
Takumi Kanaya
1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Matt McCarty
1%
Henry Lebioda
1%
Chandler Blanchet
1%
Marcelo Rozo
1%
Webb Simpson
1%
Daniel Brown
1%
Austin Eckroat
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
Adrien Saddier
1%
Eric Cole
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Jeffrey Kang
1%
Michael Kim
1%
William Mouw
1%
John Parry
1%
Andrew Putnam
1%
David Ford
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Patrick Fishburn
<1%
Tom Hoge
<1%
Doug Ghim
<1%
Matthias Schmid
<1%
Brandt Snedeker
<1%
Steven Fisk
<1%
Pontus Nyholm
<1%
Gordon Sargent
<1%
Garrick Higgo
<1%
Luke Clanton
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Rafael Campos
<1%
Adam Schenk
<1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Neal Shipley
<1%
Davis Chatfield
<1%
Brice Garnett
<1%
Christo Lamprecht
<1%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
<1%
David Lipsky
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Patton Kizzire
<1%
Joe Highsmith
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Ludvig Aberg 4.9%
Tommy Fleetwood 4.8%
Russell Henley 4.5%
Si Woo Kim 4.4%
$47,393 Vol.
$47,393 Vol.
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
5%
Russell Henley
5%
Si Woo Kim
4%
Jordan Spieth
4%
Robert MacIntyre
4%
Hideki Matsuyama
4%
Rickie Fowler
3%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Denny McCarthy
25%
Keith Mitchell
2%
Johnny Keefer
2%
Charley Hoffman
2%
Alexander Noren
2%
Ryo Hisatsune
2%
Thorbjorn Olesen
2%
Mac Meissner
2%
JT Poston
2%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Marco Penge
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Brian Harman
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Austin Smotherman
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Nick Dunlap
15%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
Beau Hossler
1%
Lucas Glover
18%
Emiliano Grillo
18%
Mark Hubbard
17%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
Lee Hodges
1%
Jordan L. Smith
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Zach Bauchou
1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Seamus Power
1%
Tom Kim
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
Chris Kirk
1%
Max McGreevy
1%
Daniel Berger
1%
Hao-Tong Li
1%
Takumi Kanaya
1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Matt McCarty
1%
Henry Lebioda
1%
Chandler Blanchet
1%
Marcelo Rozo
1%
Webb Simpson
1%
Daniel Brown
1%
Austin Eckroat
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
Adrien Saddier
1%
Eric Cole
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Jeffrey Kang
1%
Michael Kim
1%
William Mouw
1%
John Parry
1%
Andrew Putnam
1%
David Ford
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Patrick Fishburn
<1%
Tom Hoge
<1%
Doug Ghim
<1%
Matthias Schmid
<1%
Brandt Snedeker
<1%
Steven Fisk
<1%
Pontus Nyholm
<1%
Gordon Sargent
<1%
Garrick Higgo
<1%
Luke Clanton
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Rafael Campos
<1%
Adam Schenk
<1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Neal Shipley
<1%
Davis Chatfield
<1%
Brice Garnett
<1%
Christo Lamprecht
<1%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
<1%
David Lipsky
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Patton Kizzire
<1%
Joe Highsmith
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects a wide-open Valero Texas Open field at windy TPC San Antonio Oaks Course, with no dominant favorite as top players like Ludvig Aberg and Tommy Fleetwood dial back ahead of the Masters, the final qualification opportunity via outright win. Denny McCarthy leads implied probabilities at 25% buoyed by elite strokes gained putting and T12 finish last week at Houston Open, while Pierceson Coody (22%) draws Texas native support despite recent back concerns from Houston withdrawal, Emiliano Grillo (18%) leverages ball-striking prowess, Lucas Glover (18%) veteran irons play, and Mark Hubbard (18%) steady recent form—bunching top outcomes tightly amid motivated mid-tier contenders chasing Augusta invites and course history edges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions