Gary Woodland's stunning 13-under lead after 64-63 rounds, fueled by an iron shaft tweak restoring confidence, headlines Round 2 at Memorial Park, yet trader consensus clusters 48-50% implied probabilities across Takumi Kanaya, Jeffrey Kang, Matthieu Pavon, Lee Hodges, Emiliano Grillo, Brice Garnett, William Mouw, and Luke Clanton, all lurking T11-T33 at 4-6 under via hot putting and bogey-free stretches. This tight bunching underscores competitive dynamics in a cut-made field of 60, where sponsor exemptions and Korn Ferry standouts exploit the windy, long parkland layout's low barriers to upsets, tempering Woodland's edge amid his health comeback while established names like Min Woo Lee (T4, -9) fade to 16%. Weekend tee times and potential gusts heighten volatility for these evenly matched contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedEmiliano Grillo 45.9%
JT Poston 40.0%
Pontus Nyholm 35.9%
Kevin Roy 27.5%
$447,257 Vol.
$447,257 Vol.
Emiliano Grillo
46%
JT Poston
40%
Pontus Nyholm
36%
Kevin Roy
28%
Jeffrey Kang
27%
Nicolai Hojgaard
16%
Min Woo Lee
15%
Jason Day
8%
Austin Eckroat
5%
Jake Knapp
4%
Tom Kim
3%
Bronson Burgoon
3%
Johnny Keefer
3%
Keith Mitchell
3%
Chad Ramey
2%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
2%
Harris English
2%
Tony Finau
2%
Stephan Jaeger
2%
Harry Hall
2%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Rico Hoey
2%
Aldrich Potgieter
1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Denny McCarthy
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Mac Meissner
1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Eric Cole
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Garrick Higgo
<1%
Tom Hoge
<1%
Davis Riley
35%
Takumi Kanaya
-
Chris Kirk
-
Henry Lebioda
-
Max McGreevy
-
William Mouw
-
John Parry
-
Matthieu Pavon
-
Luke Clanton
-
Steven Fisk
31%
Brice Garnett
-
Lee Hodges
-
Beau Hossler
-
Emiliano Grillo 45.9%
JT Poston 40.0%
Pontus Nyholm 35.9%
Kevin Roy 27.5%
$447,257 Vol.
$447,257 Vol.
Emiliano Grillo
46%
JT Poston
40%
Pontus Nyholm
36%
Kevin Roy
28%
Jeffrey Kang
27%
Nicolai Hojgaard
16%
Min Woo Lee
15%
Jason Day
8%
Austin Eckroat
5%
Jake Knapp
4%
Tom Kim
3%
Bronson Burgoon
3%
Johnny Keefer
3%
Keith Mitchell
3%
Chad Ramey
2%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
2%
Harris English
2%
Tony Finau
2%
Stephan Jaeger
2%
Harry Hall
2%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Rico Hoey
2%
Aldrich Potgieter
1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Denny McCarthy
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Mac Meissner
1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Eric Cole
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Garrick Higgo
<1%
Tom Hoge
<1%
Davis Riley
35%
Takumi Kanaya
-
Chris Kirk
-
Henry Lebioda
-
Max McGreevy
-
William Mouw
-
John Parry
-
Matthieu Pavon
-
Luke Clanton
-
Steven Fisk
31%
Brice Garnett
-
Lee Hodges
-
Beau Hossler
-
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 12:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Gary Woodland's stunning 13-under lead after 64-63 rounds, fueled by an iron shaft tweak restoring confidence, headlines Round 2 at Memorial Park, yet trader consensus clusters 48-50% implied probabilities across Takumi Kanaya, Jeffrey Kang, Matthieu Pavon, Lee Hodges, Emiliano Grillo, Brice Garnett, William Mouw, and Luke Clanton, all lurking T11-T33 at 4-6 under via hot putting and bogey-free stretches. This tight bunching underscores competitive dynamics in a cut-made field of 60, where sponsor exemptions and Korn Ferry standouts exploit the windy, long parkland layout's low barriers to upsets, tempering Woodland's edge amid his health comeback while established names like Min Woo Lee (T4, -9) fade to 16%. Weekend tee times and potential gusts heighten volatility for these evenly matched contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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