Kyoung-Hoon Lee holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 46% implied probability for the Texas Children's Houston Open winner, but Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen (42.3%), Cole Hammer (41.6%), and Henry Lebioda (38.1%) keep the market razor-tight atop the leaderboard after strong opening rounds at Memorial Park Golf Course. These mid-tier contenders surged with elite ball-striking and putting in Rounds 1-2, posting birdie barrages on the demanding par-70 layout where low scores are rare, while pre-tournament favorites like Jason Day (6.8%) and Tony Finau (0.5%) trail amid inconsistent irons and putting woes. No major injuries or withdrawals have disrupted the field, heightening volatility with 36 holes left for upsets in this signature PGA Tour stop favoring consistent tee-to-green performers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMin Woo Lee 15.9%
Nicolai Hojgaard 14.8%
Jason Day 6.0%
Denny McCarthy 5.1%
$445,514 Vol.
$445,514 Vol.
Min Woo Lee
16%
Nicolai Hojgaard
15%
Jason Day
6%
Denny McCarthy
5%
Cole Hammer
4%
Jake Knapp
3%
Sam Burns
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
20%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
1%
Tom Kim
1%
Davis Riley
1%
Kevin Roy
1%
Takumi Kanaya
1%
Jeffrey Kang
1%
Chris Kirk
1%
Hao-Tong Li
1%
John Parry
1%
Matthieu Pavon
1%
Luke Clanton
1%
Eric Cole
1%
Brice Garnett
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
Lee Hodges
1%
Beau Hossler
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Aldrich Potgieter
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Johnny Keefer
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Mac Meissner
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Harry Hall
1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
<1%
Ricky Castillo
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Pontus Nyholm
<1%
Bronson Burgoon
<1%
Austin Eckroat
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Steven Fisk
<1%
Tom Hoge
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
<1%
Patton Kizzire
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Christo Lamprecht
<1%
Zach Bauchou
<1%
Chandler Blanchet
<1%
David Lipsky
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Trey Mullinax
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Marco Penge
<1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Brian Campbell
<1%
Rafael Campos
<1%
Davis Chatfield
<1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Nick Dunlap
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
A.J. Ewart
<1%
Patrick Fishburn
<1%
David Ford
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Lucas Glover
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Garrick Higgo
<1%
Joe Highsmith
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
Charley Hoffman
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Mason Howell
<1%
Mark Hubbard
<1%
Mackenzie Hughes
<1%
Henry Lebioda
-
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
-
Max McGreevy
-
Daniel Brown
-
JT Poston
-
Min Woo Lee 15.9%
Nicolai Hojgaard 14.8%
Jason Day 6.0%
Denny McCarthy 5.1%
$445,514 Vol.
$445,514 Vol.
Min Woo Lee
16%
Nicolai Hojgaard
15%
Jason Day
6%
Denny McCarthy
5%
Cole Hammer
4%
Jake Knapp
3%
Sam Burns
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
20%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
1%
Tom Kim
1%
Davis Riley
1%
Kevin Roy
1%
Takumi Kanaya
1%
Jeffrey Kang
1%
Chris Kirk
1%
Hao-Tong Li
1%
John Parry
1%
Matthieu Pavon
1%
Luke Clanton
1%
Eric Cole
1%
Brice Garnett
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
Lee Hodges
1%
Beau Hossler
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Aldrich Potgieter
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Johnny Keefer
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Mac Meissner
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Harry Hall
1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
<1%
Ricky Castillo
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Pontus Nyholm
<1%
Bronson Burgoon
<1%
Austin Eckroat
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Steven Fisk
<1%
Tom Hoge
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
<1%
Patton Kizzire
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Christo Lamprecht
<1%
Zach Bauchou
<1%
Chandler Blanchet
<1%
David Lipsky
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Trey Mullinax
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Marco Penge
<1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Brian Campbell
<1%
Rafael Campos
<1%
Davis Chatfield
<1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Nick Dunlap
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
A.J. Ewart
<1%
Patrick Fishburn
<1%
David Ford
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Lucas Glover
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Garrick Higgo
<1%
Joe Highsmith
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
Charley Hoffman
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Mason Howell
<1%
Mark Hubbard
<1%
Mackenzie Hughes
<1%
Henry Lebioda
-
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
-
Max McGreevy
-
Daniel Brown
-
JT Poston
-
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 12:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyoung-Hoon Lee holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 46% implied probability for the Texas Children's Houston Open winner, but Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen (42.3%), Cole Hammer (41.6%), and Henry Lebioda (38.1%) keep the market razor-tight atop the leaderboard after strong opening rounds at Memorial Park Golf Course. These mid-tier contenders surged with elite ball-striking and putting in Rounds 1-2, posting birdie barrages on the demanding par-70 layout where low scores are rare, while pre-tournament favorites like Jason Day (6.8%) and Tony Finau (0.5%) trail amid inconsistent irons and putting woes. No major injuries or withdrawals have disrupted the field, heightening volatility with 36 holes left for upsets in this signature PGA Tour stop favoring consistent tee-to-green performers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions