Trader consensus reflects a tightly contested race for the 2026 NFL Draft's No. 3 overall pick, with Kelvin Banks Jr. (OT, Texas), James Pearce Jr. (EDGE, Tennessee), Mason Graham (DT, Michigan), and Malaki Starks (S, Georgia) clustered around 50% implied probabilities due to their interchangeable status atop post-combine big boards. Field Yates' March 19 ESPN Top 50 ranks Pearce No. 4, Graham No. 5, and Banks No. 8, highlighting elite athleticism and production at premium positions after strong pro day showings at Tennessee (March 14), Michigan (March 20), and Texas (March 20). Projected No. 3 team Arizona Cardinals weighs pass-rush upgrades or trench protection post-free agency, but recent mocks diverge—David Bailey (EDGE) or Francis Mauigoa (OT) at No. 3—amid top-two locks to Raiders (QB Fernando Mendoza) and Jets (LB Arvell Reese), funneling blue-chip defenders into contention without a clear separator.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedDavid Bailey 30%
Jordyn Tyson 23.3%
Peter Woods 22.3%
Keldric Faulk 22.2%
David Bailey
30%
Jordyn Tyson
23%
Peter Woods
22%
Keldric Faulk
22%
Francis Mauigoa
18%
Carnell Tate
17%
Arvell Reese
10%
Spencer Fano
9%
Jeremiyah Love
8%
Fernando Mendoza
8%
Nico Iamaleava
7%
Kadyn Proctor
7%
T.J. Parker
7%
Rueben Bain Jr.
5%
Sonny Styles
5%
Ty Simpson
5%
LT Overton
5%
Drew Allar
4%
Caleb Downs
4%
Dante Moore
3%
Garrett Nussmeier
3%
Carson Beck
21%
Kayden McDonald
20%
Trevor Goosby
17%
David Bailey 30%
Jordyn Tyson 23.3%
Peter Woods 22.3%
Keldric Faulk 22.2%
David Bailey
30%
Jordyn Tyson
23%
Peter Woods
22%
Keldric Faulk
22%
Francis Mauigoa
18%
Carnell Tate
17%
Arvell Reese
10%
Spencer Fano
9%
Jeremiyah Love
8%
Fernando Mendoza
8%
Nico Iamaleava
7%
Kadyn Proctor
7%
T.J. Parker
7%
Rueben Bain Jr.
5%
Sonny Styles
5%
Ty Simpson
5%
LT Overton
5%
Drew Allar
4%
Caleb Downs
4%
Dante Moore
3%
Garrett Nussmeier
3%
Carson Beck
21%
Kayden McDonald
20%
Trevor Goosby
17%
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus reflects a tightly contested race for the 2026 NFL Draft's No. 3 overall pick, with Kelvin Banks Jr. (OT, Texas), James Pearce Jr. (EDGE, Tennessee), Mason Graham (DT, Michigan), and Malaki Starks (S, Georgia) clustered around 50% implied probabilities due to their interchangeable status atop post-combine big boards. Field Yates' March 19 ESPN Top 50 ranks Pearce No. 4, Graham No. 5, and Banks No. 8, highlighting elite athleticism and production at premium positions after strong pro day showings at Tennessee (March 14), Michigan (March 20), and Texas (March 20). Projected No. 3 team Arizona Cardinals weighs pass-rush upgrades or trench protection post-free agency, but recent mocks diverge—David Bailey (EDGE) or Francis Mauigoa (OT) at No. 3—amid top-two locks to Raiders (QB Fernando Mendoza) and Jets (LB Arvell Reese), funneling blue-chip defenders into contention without a clear separator.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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