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Sports·NFL Draft

2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick

Market icon
Sports·NFL Draft

2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick

David Bailey 36%

Francis Mauigoa 17.8%

Rueben Bain Jr. 11.2%

Jeremiyah Love 9.2%

Polymarket

$16,933 Vol.

David Bailey 36%

Francis Mauigoa 17.8%

Rueben Bain Jr. 11.2%

Jeremiyah Love 9.2%

Polymarket

$16,933 Vol.

David Bailey

$3,111 Vol.

36%

Francis Mauigoa

$238 Vol.

18%

Rueben Bain Jr.

$3,955 Vol.

10%

Jeremiyah Love

$94 Vol.

9%

Arvell Reese

$6,538 Vol.

9%

Sonny Styles

$156 Vol.

7%

Spencer Fano

$340 Vol.

6%

T.J. Parker

$56 Vol.

6%

Nico Iamaleava

$66 Vol.

6%

Kadyn Proctor

$66 Vol.

5%

Ty Simpson

$78 Vol.

5%

Dante Moore

$116 Vol.

16%

LT Overton

$56 Vol.

4%

Caleb Downs

$133 Vol.

3%

Garrett Nussmeier

$560 Vol.

3%

Fernando Mendoza

$160 Vol.

2%

Peter Woods

$174 Vol.

1%

Jordyn Tyson

$166 Vol.

1%

Carson Beck

$158 Vol.

7%

Keldric Faulk

$81 Vol.

14%

Carnell Tate

$80 Vol.

23%

Kayden McDonald

$153 Vol.

23%

Trevor Goosby

$73 Vol.

14%

Drew Allar

$317 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the 2026 NFL Draft's No. 3 overall pick reflects a dead heat among elite prospects Kelvin Banks Jr., James Pearce Jr., Mason Graham, and Malaki Starks, each hovering around 50% implied probability due to their standout college resumes and comparable pre-draft buzz from powerhouse programs like Texas, Tennessee, Michigan, and Georgia. Banks' dominance at left tackle in Texas' playoff push, Pearce's explosive edge production with double-digit sacks, Graham's disruptive interior presence anchoring Michigan's run defense, and Starks' ball-hawking instincts in Georgia's secondary have fueled evenly split mock drafts and betting action. With the projected Cardinals holding the pick amid needs across trenches and backfield, no single trait has emerged as decisive post-combine, keeping the market tightly contested amid trade rumors and final 30-visit intel.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,933
End Date
Apr 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the 2026 NFL Draft's No. 3 overall pick reflects a dead heat among elite prospects Kelvin Banks Jr., James Pearce Jr., Mason Graham, and Malaki Starks, each hovering around 50% implied probability due to their standout college resumes and comparable pre-draft buzz from powerhouse programs like Texas, Tennessee, Michigan, and Georgia. Banks' dominance at left tackle in Texas' playoff push, Pearce's explosive edge production with double-digit sacks, Graham's disruptive interior presence anchoring Michigan's run defense, and Starks' ball-hawking instincts in Georgia's secondary have fueled evenly split mock drafts and betting action. With the projected Cardinals holding the pick amid needs across trenches and backfield, no single trait has emerged as decisive post-combine, keeping the market tightly contested amid trade rumors and final 30-visit intel.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,933
End Date
Apr 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Bailey" at 36%, followed by "Carnell Tate" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick " has generated $16.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick ," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick " is "David Bailey" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carnell Tate" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.