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Sports·NFL Draft

2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick

Market icon
Sports·NFL Draft

2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick

David Bailey 39%

Arvell Reese 26%

Francis Mauigoa 12.7%

Jeremiyah Love 6.7%

Polymarket

$37,532 Vol.

David Bailey 39%

Arvell Reese 26%

Francis Mauigoa 12.7%

Jeremiyah Love 6.7%

Polymarket

$37,532 Vol.

David Bailey

$4,586 Vol.

39%

Arvell Reese

$11,104 Vol.

26%

Francis Mauigoa

$870 Vol.

13%

Jeremiyah Love

$1,018 Vol.

7%

LT Overton

$514 Vol.

4%

Sonny Styles

$764 Vol.

3%

Spencer Fano

$1,033 Vol.

3%

Garrett Nussmeier

$1,081 Vol.

2%

T.J. Parker

$519 Vol.

2%

Kayden McDonald

$786 Vol.

2%

Carnell Tate

$1,001 Vol.

2%

Drew Allar

$838 Vol.

2%

Kadyn Proctor

$674 Vol.

2%

Peter Woods

$944 Vol.

2%

Fernando Mendoza

$952 Vol.

1%

Keldric Faulk

$637 Vol.

1%

Rueben Bain Jr.

$5,304 Vol.

1%

Nico Iamaleava

$698 Vol.

1%

Caleb Downs

$584 Vol.

1%

Dante Moore

$885 Vol.

1%

Trevor Goosby

$547 Vol.

1%

Carson Beck

$636 Vol.

1%

Jordyn Tyson

$986 Vol.

1%

Ty Simpson

$563 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Arizona Cardinals hold the No. 3 pick after a 3-14 finish in 2025, with roster holes at offensive tackle, edge rusher, defensive tackle, and safety fueling the razor-thin trader consensus atop Kelvin Banks Jr., James Pearce Jr., Mason Graham, and Malaki Starks at around 50% implied probabilities each. Recent mock drafts diverge wildly post-combine and pro days—Charles Davis projects QB Ty Simpson third overall (March 26), Tankathon slots OT Francis Mauigoa, while others eye LBs like David Bailey or Arvell Reese earlier—reflecting uncertainty on the board after projected top-two QBs or hybrid defenders. Mel Kiper Jr. dismissed trade-down odds as unlikely (April 9) and flagged Miami's Mauigoa as reach territory at three, elevating blue-chip trench and defensive talent without a consensus BPA. No injuries or withdrawals alter the mix, keeping this elite prospect cluster deadlocked amid Cardinals' premium-position priorities and skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$37,532
End Date
Apr 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Arizona Cardinals hold the No. 3 pick after a 3-14 finish in 2025, with roster holes at offensive tackle, edge rusher, defensive tackle, and safety fueling the razor-thin trader consensus atop Kelvin Banks Jr., James Pearce Jr., Mason Graham, and Malaki Starks at around 50% implied probabilities each. Recent mock drafts diverge wildly post-combine and pro days—Charles Davis projects QB Ty Simpson third overall (March 26), Tankathon slots OT Francis Mauigoa, while others eye LBs like David Bailey or Arvell Reese earlier—reflecting uncertainty on the board after projected top-two QBs or hybrid defenders. Mel Kiper Jr. dismissed trade-down odds as unlikely (April 9) and flagged Miami's Mauigoa as reach territory at three, elevating blue-chip trench and defensive talent without a consensus BPA. No injuries or withdrawals alter the mix, keeping this elite prospect cluster deadlocked amid Cardinals' premium-position priorities and skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$37,532
End Date
Apr 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Bailey" at 39%, followed by "Arvell Reese" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick " has generated $37.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick ," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick " is "David Bailey" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arvell Reese" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.