Trader consensus for the 2026 NCAA Tournament winner bunches tightly atop Arizona (19.1%), Michigan (18.5%), and Duke (17.5%) amid elite 2025 recruiting hauls—Duke lands No. 1 overall with Cooper Flagg, Arizona secures top-3 talent like Jalen Haralson and Koa Peat, while Michigan's Dusty May era boosts with a top-5 class and key transfers like Danny Wolf. Transfer portal parity floods rosters with proven scorers, erasing last season's gaps, as coaches like Tommy Lloyd and Jon Scheyer leverage NIL for blue-chip freshmen. No dynasty dominates post-Zach Edey Purdue; schedule strength, Big Ten/Big 12 grind, and injury unknowns keep the futures market razor-thin, mirroring college hoops' annual volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedArizona 19.1%
Michigan 19%
Duke 18%
Florida 10.3%
$21,904,524 Vol.
$21,904,524 Vol.
Arizona
19%
Michigan
19%
Duke
18%
Florida
10%
Houston
7%
Purdue
5%
Iowa State
4%
Illinois
4%
Connecticut
3%
Arkansas
3%
Michigan State
2%
St John's
2%
Gonzaga
2%
UCLA
1%
Kansas
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
Tennessee
1%
Alabama
1%
Virginia
<1%
Louisville
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Nebraska
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
Miami (FL)
<1%
High Point
<1%
Missouri
<1%
VCU
<1%
Saint Louis
<1%
TCU
<1%
Iowa
<1%
Clemson
<1%
UCF
<1%
Miami (OH)
<1%
Norhtern Iowa
<1%
Prairie View A&M
<1%
Texas
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Furman
<1%
Utah State
<1%
Queens
<1%
Arizona 19.1%
Michigan 19%
Duke 18%
Florida 10.3%
$21,904,524 Vol.
$21,904,524 Vol.
Arizona
19%
Michigan
19%
Duke
18%
Florida
10%
Houston
7%
Purdue
5%
Iowa State
4%
Illinois
4%
Connecticut
3%
Arkansas
3%
Michigan State
2%
St John's
2%
Gonzaga
2%
UCLA
1%
Kansas
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
Tennessee
1%
Alabama
1%
Virginia
<1%
Louisville
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Nebraska
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
Miami (FL)
<1%
High Point
<1%
Missouri
<1%
VCU
<1%
Saint Louis
<1%
TCU
<1%
Iowa
<1%
Clemson
<1%
UCF
<1%
Miami (OH)
<1%
Norhtern Iowa
<1%
Prairie View A&M
<1%
Texas
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Furman
<1%
Utah State
<1%
Queens
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Market Opened: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus for the 2026 NCAA Tournament winner bunches tightly atop Arizona (19.1%), Michigan (18.5%), and Duke (17.5%) amid elite 2025 recruiting hauls—Duke lands No. 1 overall with Cooper Flagg, Arizona secures top-3 talent like Jalen Haralson and Koa Peat, while Michigan's Dusty May era boosts with a top-5 class and key transfers like Danny Wolf. Transfer portal parity floods rosters with proven scorers, erasing last season's gaps, as coaches like Tommy Lloyd and Jon Scheyer leverage NIL for blue-chip freshmen. No dynasty dominates post-Zach Edey Purdue; schedule strength, Big Ten/Big 12 grind, and injury unknowns keep the futures market razor-thin, mirroring college hoops' annual volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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