The Washington Wizards' 100% implied probability on Polymarket reflects their official victory in the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery held today in Chicago, securing the No. 1 overall pick for the first time since selecting John Wall in 2010. Entering with the league's worst 17-65 regular-season record—clinched in mid-April—they held tied-top 14% odds alongside the Nets and Pacers, but the ping-pong balls favored them in the televised draw. This outcome vaults the rebuilding franchise toward elite prospects like AJ Dybantsa or Darryn Peterson. While results are final per NBA rules, rare challenges could arise from procedural disputes or pick swaps, though none are anticipated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2026 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick
2026 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick
Washington Wizards 100.0%
Atlanta Hawks <1%
Boston Celtics <1%
Brooklyn Nets <1%
$22,895 Vol.
$22,895 Vol.
May 11, 2026
Atlanta Hawks
No
Boston Celtics
No
Brooklyn Nets
No
Charlotte Hornets
No
Chicago Bulls
No
Cleveland Cavaliers
No
Dallas Mavericks
No
Denver Nuggets
No
Detroit Pistons
No
Golden State Warriors
No
Houston Rockets
No
Indiana Pacers
No
Los Angeles Clippers
No
Los Angeles Lakers
No
Memphis Grizzlies
No
Miami Heat
No
Milwaukee Bucks
No
Minnesota Timberwolves
No
New Orleans Pelicans
No
New York Knicks
No
Oklahoma City Thunder
No
Orlando Magic
No
Philadelphia 76ers
No
Phoenix Suns
No
Portland Trail Blazers
No
Sacramento Kings
No
San Antonio Spurs
No
Toronto Raptors
No
Utah Jazz
No
Washington Wizards
Yes
Washington Wizards 100.0%
Atlanta Hawks <1%
Boston Celtics <1%
Brooklyn Nets <1%
$22,895 Vol.
$22,895 Vol.
May 11, 2026
Atlanta Hawks
$911 Vol.
No
Boston Celtics
$274 Vol.
No
Brooklyn Nets
$1,220 Vol.
No
Charlotte Hornets
$1,637 Vol.
No
Chicago Bulls
$1,238 Vol.
No
Cleveland Cavaliers
$274 Vol.
No
Dallas Mavericks
$452 Vol.
No
Denver Nuggets
$299 Vol.
No
Detroit Pistons
$299 Vol.
No
Golden State Warriors
$2,081 Vol.
No
Houston Rockets
$299 Vol.
No
Indiana Pacers
$1,708 Vol.
No
Los Angeles Clippers
$274 Vol.
No
Los Angeles Lakers
$352 Vol.
No
Memphis Grizzlies
$756 Vol.
No
Miami Heat
$1,710 Vol.
No
Milwaukee Bucks
$494 Vol.
No
Minnesota Timberwolves
$399 Vol.
No
New Orleans Pelicans
$274 Vol.
No
New York Knicks
$349 Vol.
No
Oklahoma City Thunder
$2,223 Vol.
No
Orlando Magic
$257 Vol.
No
Philadelphia 76ers
$257 Vol.
No
Phoenix Suns
$257 Vol.
No
Portland Trail Blazers
$257 Vol.
No
Sacramento Kings
$764 Vol.
No
San Antonio Spurs
$349 Vol.
No
Toronto Raptors
$257 Vol.
No
Utah Jazz
$387 Vol.
No
Washington Wizards
$2,587 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner, not the team whose record determined the lottery odds.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., “top-5 protected”), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Washington Wizards' 100% implied probability on Polymarket reflects their official victory in the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery held today in Chicago, securing the No. 1 overall pick for the first time since selecting John Wall in 2010. Entering with the league's worst 17-65 regular-season record—clinched in mid-April—they held tied-top 14% odds alongside the Nets and Pacers, but the ping-pong balls favored them in the televised draw. This outcome vaults the rebuilding franchise toward elite prospects like AJ Dybantsa or Darryn Peterson. While results are final per NBA rules, rare challenges could arise from procedural disputes or pick swaps, though none are anticipated.
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner, not the team whose record determined the lottery odds.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., “top-5 protected”), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner, not the team whose record determined the lottery odds.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., “top-5 protected”), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 12:50 PM ET
Volume
$22,895End Date
May 11, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner, not the team whose record determined the lottery odds.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., “top-5 protected”), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Washington Wizards' 100% implied probability on Polymarket reflects their official victory in the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery held today in Chicago, securing the No. 1 overall pick for the first time since selecting John Wall in 2010. Entering with the league's worst 17-65 regular-season record—clinched in mid-April—they held tied-top 14% odds alongside the Nets and Pacers, but the ping-pong balls favored them in the televised draw. This outcome vaults the rebuilding franchise toward elite prospects like AJ Dybantsa or Darryn Peterson. While results are final per NBA rules, rare challenges could arise from procedural disputes or pick swaps, though none are anticipated.
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner, not the team whose record determined the lottery odds.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., “top-5 protected”), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner, not the team whose record determined the lottery odds.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., “top-5 protected”), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,895End Date
May 11, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The Washington Wizards' 100% implied probability on Polymarket reflects their official victory in the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery held today in Chicago, securing the No. 1 overall pick for the first time since selecting John Wall in 2010. Entering with the league's worst 17-65 regular-season record—clinched in mid-April—they held tied-top 14% odds alongside the Nets and Pacers, but the ping-pong balls favored them in the televised draw. This outcome vaults the rebuilding franchise toward elite prospects like AJ Dybantsa or Darryn Peterson. While results are final per NBA rules, rare challenges could arise from procedural disputes or pick swaps, though none are anticipated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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