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Sports·2026 NBA Draft

2026 NBA Draft: 5th Overall Pick

icon for 2026 NBA Draft: 5th Overall Pick
Sports·2026 NBA Draft

2026 NBA Draft: 5th Overall Pick

Keaton Wagler 33%

Darius Acuff Jr. 24%

Mikel Brown Jr. 18%

Nate Ament 13.2%

Polymarket

$792,807 Vol.

Keaton Wagler 33%

Darius Acuff Jr. 24%

Mikel Brown Jr. 18%

Nate Ament 13.2%

Polymarket

$792,807 Vol.

Keaton Wagler

$2,197 Vol.

33%

Darius Acuff Jr.

$1,300 Vol.

24%

Mikel Brown Jr.

$270 Vol.

18%

Nate Ament

$382 Vol.

13%

Kingston Flemings

$274 Vol.

3%

Will Quaintance

$28 Vol.

2%

Yaxel Lendeborg

$264,902 Vol.

2%

Caleb Wilson

$28 Vol.

1%

Karim Lopez

$28 Vol.

1%

LaBaron Philon

$157 Vol.

1%

Cameron Boozer

$66 Vol.

1%

Hannes Steinbach

$92,944 Vol.

1%

Bennett Stirtz

$7 Vol.

1%

Darryn Peterson

$245,942 Vol.

1%

AJ Dybantsa

$184,282 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fifth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Keaton Wagler’s breakout freshman season at Illinois, where he averaged 17.9 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 4.2 assists while earning All-American honors and leading the Illini to the Final Four, has established him as the leading candidate for the fifth pick in trader consensus. Recent NBA Combine measurements and pre-draft evaluations by teams holding top selections, including the Clippers, have reinforced his standing as a polished combo guard with elite shooting and playmaking. Darius Acuff Jr. and Mikel Brown Jr. trail closely behind due to their respective Arkansas and Louisville campaigns highlighting scoring versatility and floor leadership among a deep guard group, while lower-priced names like Nate Ament reflect more limited recent production or scouting momentum ahead of June’s draft.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fifth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$792,807
End Date
Jun 24, 2026
Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fifth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fifth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Keaton Wagler’s breakout freshman season at Illinois, where he averaged 17.9 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 4.2 assists while earning All-American honors and leading the Illini to the Final Four, has established him as the leading candidate for the fifth pick in trader consensus. Recent NBA Combine measurements and pre-draft evaluations by teams holding top selections, including the Clippers, have reinforced his standing as a polished combo guard with elite shooting and playmaking. Darius Acuff Jr. and Mikel Brown Jr. trail closely behind due to their respective Arkansas and Louisville campaigns highlighting scoring versatility and floor leadership among a deep guard group, while lower-priced names like Nate Ament reflect more limited recent production or scouting momentum ahead of June’s draft.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fifth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$792,807
End Date
Jun 24, 2026
Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fifth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 NBA Draft: 5th Overall Pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keaton Wagler" at 33%, followed by "Darius Acuff Jr." at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 NBA Draft: 5th Overall Pick" has generated $792.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 NBA Draft: 5th Overall Pick," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 NBA Draft: 5th Overall Pick" is "Keaton Wagler" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Darius Acuff Jr." at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 NBA Draft: 5th Overall Pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.