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Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Market icon
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Carlos Alcaraz 39%

Jannik Sinner 36%

Novak Djokovic 5.8%

Jiri Lehecka 5.3%

Polymarket

$1,056,676 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz 39%

Jannik Sinner 36%

Novak Djokovic 5.8%

Jiri Lehecka 5.3%

Polymarket

$1,056,676 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz

$6,948 Vol.

39%

Jannik Sinner

$4,232 Vol.

36%

Novak Djokovic

$123,376 Vol.

6%

Jiri Lehecka

$272,342 Vol.

5%

Daniil Medvedev

$8,545 Vol.

3%

Felix Auger Aliassime

$246,406 Vol.

3%

Alexander Zverev

$12,843 Vol.

2%

Taylor Fritz

$9,254 Vol.

2%

Ben Shelton

$38,504 Vol.

2%

Joao Fonseca

$25,244 Vol.

2%

Flavio Cobolli

$3,233 Vol.

2%

Arthur Fils

$11,824 Vol.

2%

Jack Draper

$33,793 Vol.

1%

Jakub Mensik

$63,173 Vol.

1%

Andrey Rublev

$1,102 Vol.

1%

Matteo Berrettini

$29,862 Vol.

1%

Alexander Bublik

$20,738 Vol.

1%

Hubert Hurkacz

$140,921 Vol.

1%

Lorenzo Musetti

$1,323 Vol.

1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$850 Vol.

1%

Holger Rune

$802 Vol.

<1%

Frances Tiafoe

$1,359 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the 2026 Men's US Open winner reflects a razor-thin duel between World No. 1 Jannik Sinner (36%) and No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz (39%), fueled by their head-to-head mastery and hard-court dominance at Flushing Meadows. Sinner's straight-sets Monte-Carlo Masters triumph over Alcaraz last week—his third title of 2026—reclaimed the top ATP ranking and showcased clay-court evolution, yet Alcaraz's Australian Open conquest in January, completing his career Grand Slam with a final win over Djokovic, bolsters his edge on faster hard courts where he claimed the 2022 US Open. Alcaraz's recent right wrist injury, prompting Madrid Open withdrawal, tempers enthusiasm without derailing his surface history. Djokovic (6.5%) fades amid schedule management and age-39 vulnerabilities, while risers like Jiri Lehecka (5.3%) gain from Miami semifinals after toppling Arthur Fils, highlighting the open draw's upset potential.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,056,676
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the 2026 Men's US Open winner reflects a razor-thin duel between World No. 1 Jannik Sinner (36%) and No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz (39%), fueled by their head-to-head mastery and hard-court dominance at Flushing Meadows. Sinner's straight-sets Monte-Carlo Masters triumph over Alcaraz last week—his third title of 2026—reclaimed the top ATP ranking and showcased clay-court evolution, yet Alcaraz's Australian Open conquest in January, completing his career Grand Slam with a final win over Djokovic, bolsters his edge on faster hard courts where he claimed the 2022 US Open. Alcaraz's recent right wrist injury, prompting Madrid Open withdrawal, tempers enthusiasm without derailing his surface history. Djokovic (6.5%) fades amid schedule management and age-39 vulnerabilities, while risers like Jiri Lehecka (5.3%) gain from Miami semifinals after toppling Arthur Fils, highlighting the open draw's upset potential.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,056,676
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 39%, followed by "Jannik Sinner" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.