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Sports·Soccer

2025-2026 FA Cup Winner

Market icon
Sports·Soccer

2025-2026 FA Cup Winner

Manchester City 59%

Chelsea 23%

Leeds United AFC 8.8%

West Ham United 6.9%

Polymarket

$399,948 Vol.

Manchester City 59%

Chelsea 23%

Leeds United AFC 8.8%

West Ham United 6.9%

Polymarket

$399,948 Vol.

Manchester City

$7,517 Vol.

59%

Chelsea

$31,588 Vol.

23%

Leeds United AFC

$1,784 Vol.

9%

West Ham United

$518 Vol.

7%

Southampton

$699 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Manchester City's dominant 59% implied probability as 2025-26 FA Cup frontrunners stems from their emphatic 4-0 quarterfinal demolition of Liverpool last weekend, showcasing squad depth and cup pedigree amid a strong Premier League title challenge where they trail leaders Arsenal by nine points. Chelsea's 23.5% trader consensus reflects recent top-five momentum and a comfortable quarterfinal progression past Port Vale, bolstered by key wins over rivals like Aston Villa. Leeds United's 8.7% share highlights their surprise deep run—first quarterfinals since 2003 via a 3-0 thrashing of Norwich—offering respite from a tense 15th-place relegation scrap. West Ham (6.9%) and Southampton (5.0%) benefit from solid advancements, with Southampton's potential upset over Arsenal contributing to the Gunners' near-zero odds after elimination. Semifinal draw and injury updates loom as key swing factors.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$399,948
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 22, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Manchester City's dominant 59% implied probability as 2025-26 FA Cup frontrunners stems from their emphatic 4-0 quarterfinal demolition of Liverpool last weekend, showcasing squad depth and cup pedigree amid a strong Premier League title challenge where they trail leaders Arsenal by nine points. Chelsea's 23.5% trader consensus reflects recent top-five momentum and a comfortable quarterfinal progression past Port Vale, bolstered by key wins over rivals like Aston Villa. Leeds United's 8.7% share highlights their surprise deep run—first quarterfinals since 2003 via a 3-0 thrashing of Norwich—offering respite from a tense 15th-place relegation scrap. West Ham (6.9%) and Southampton (5.0%) benefit from solid advancements, with Southampton's potential upset over Arsenal contributing to the Gunners' near-zero odds after elimination. Semifinal draw and injury updates loom as key swing factors.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$399,948
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 22, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2025-2026 FA Cup Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 32 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Manchester City" at 59%, followed by "Chelsea" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2025-2026 FA Cup Winner" has generated $399.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2025-2026 FA Cup Winner," browse the 32 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2025-2026 FA Cup Winner" is "Manchester City" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chelsea" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2025-2026 FA Cup Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.