Joe Biden predicciones y probabilidades

·
Biden senile during the debate?
Joe BidenTrump

Biden senile during the debate?

Yes

$551k Vol.

$0 Liq.

89

New Hampshire Democratic Primary Winner
Joe BidenPolíTica

New Hampshire Democratic Primary Winner

Marianne Williamson

$282k Vol.

$0 Liq.

2

Will Biden drop out by Friday?
Joe BidenPolíTica

Will Biden drop out by Friday?

No

$671k Vol.

$0 Liq.

11

Biden Disapproval on Dec 29
Joe BidenPolíTica

Biden Disapproval on Dec 29

>55.5%

$257 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?
Joe BidenPolíTica

Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?

Yes

$3.3k Vol.

$0 Liq.

2023 Time Person of the Year
Joe BidenPolíTica

2023 Time Person of the Year

Xi Jinping

+ 8 more

$135k Vol.

$0 Liq.

14

Will Biden drop out by Friday?
Joe BidenPolíTica

Will Biden drop out by Friday?

No

$185k Vol.

$0 Liq.

2

What will Biden say during the debate?
Joe BidenPolíTica

What will Biden say during the debate?

Malarkey

+ 13 more

$238k Vol.

18

Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on...?
Joe BidenPolíTica

Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on...?

October 1, 2023

+ 8 more

$3m Vol.

$0 Liq.

4

Biden helped off stage at the debate?
Joe BidenPolíTica

Biden helped off stage at the debate?

Yes

$28.9k Vol.

Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?
Joe BidenPolíTica

Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?

Trump by <1.4 (or Biden ahead)

$46.1k Vol.

Biden vetos Bill repealing crypto accounting rule?
Joe BidenPolíTica

Biden vetos Bill repealing crypto accounting rule?

Yes

$16.9k Vol.

1

Biden drops out by July 4?
Joe BidenPolíTica

Biden drops out by July 4?

No

$4m Vol.

33

Popular Vote Winner 2024
Joe BidenPolíTica

Popular Vote Winner 2024

Donald Trump

$628m Vol.

4,552

Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Joe BidenPolíTica

Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Yes

$3m Vol.

574

Biden accepts crypto donations by Friday?
Joe BidenPolíTica

Biden accepts crypto donations by Friday?

No

$22.3k Vol.

Trump wins a solid blue state?
Joe BidenPolíTica

Trump wins a solid blue state?

No

$2m Vol.

24

Democratic Nominee 2024
Joe BidenPolíTica

Democratic Nominee 2024

Kamala Harris

$328m Vol.

2,486

Biden drops out before May?

Biden drops out before May?

No

$91.7k Vol.

Hunter Biden sentenced to prison before election?
Joe BidenPolíTica

Hunter Biden sentenced to prison before election?

No

$81.0k Vol.

1

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 36 active markets for Joe Biden that lets you track or trade on predictions like "Biden senile during the debate?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $971.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "Popular Vote Winner 2024," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "Popular Vote Winner 2024," where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Donald Trump. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Joe Biden predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.