Trader sentiment on Polymarket for silver (SI) reaching the target by March 31 leans cautious, with yes shares trading at modest implied probabilities around 25-30%, reflecting current spot prices hovering near $24.50/oz amid a 5% monthly gain driven by safe-haven flows from geopolitical tensions and China's stimulus boosting industrial demand. Key headwinds include a resilient U.S. dollar and elevated Treasury yields curbing precious metals rallies, though Fed rate cut odds (now 75% for June per CME FedWatch) offer upside potential. Watch March 20 FOMC for dovish signals and Friday's PCE inflation data, as silver's 0.8 correlation to gold suggests breakout above $25 could accelerate momentum toward year-end forecasts of $28/oz.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$957,974 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
5%
↓ $65
55%
↓ $60
19%
↓ $50
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
$957,974 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
5%
↓ $65
55%
↓ $60
19%
↓ $50
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Mercado abierto: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for silver (SI) reaching the target by March 31 leans cautious, with yes shares trading at modest implied probabilities around 25-30%, reflecting current spot prices hovering near $24.50/oz amid a 5% monthly gain driven by safe-haven flows from geopolitical tensions and China's stimulus boosting industrial demand. Key headwinds include a resilient U.S. dollar and elevated Treasury yields curbing precious metals rallies, though Fed rate cut odds (now 75% for June per CME FedWatch) offer upside potential. Watch March 20 FOMC for dovish signals and Friday's PCE inflation data, as silver's 0.8 correlation to gold suggests breakout above $25 could accelerate momentum toward year-end forecasts of $28/oz.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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