Trader sentiment on Polymarket leans heavily against silver (SI) futures hitting $30 per ounce by March 31, with "No" shares implying over 80% probability as spot prices linger around $23.50/oz after a 5% February pullback. Key headwinds include a firm U.S. dollar above DXY 104, bolstered by sticky inflation data, and Federal Reserve hawkishness delaying rate cuts—silver's traditional inverse driver. Correlated 92% to gold, SI faces added drag from softening industrial demand amid China's economic slowdown and EV sector moderation. Watch March 12 CPI release and March 20 FOMC meeting for pivot signals; breaching $25/oz resistance is critical for bullish momentum, per COMEX volume trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$960,354 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
5%
↓ $65
55%
↓ $60
16%
↓ $50
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
$960,354 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
5%
↓ $65
55%
↓ $60
16%
↓ $50
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Mercado abierto: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket leans heavily against silver (SI) futures hitting $30 per ounce by March 31, with "No" shares implying over 80% probability as spot prices linger around $23.50/oz after a 5% February pullback. Key headwinds include a firm U.S. dollar above DXY 104, bolstered by sticky inflation data, and Federal Reserve hawkishness delaying rate cuts—silver's traditional inverse driver. Correlated 92% to gold, SI faces added drag from softening industrial demand amid China's economic slowdown and EV sector moderation. Watch March 12 CPI release and March 20 FOMC meeting for pivot signals; breaching $25/oz resistance is critical for bullish momentum, per COMEX volume trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes