Silver futures (SI) traders on Polymarket are assigning modest implied probabilities to hitting the target price by March 31, primarily driven by persistent industrial demand from solar panel production and electronics amid global green energy transitions, offsetting pressure from a strengthening U.S. dollar and elevated Fed funds rates near 4.75-5.00%. Current COMEX SI front-month trades around $31.20/oz, up 15% YTD, with spot XAG/USD at $31.15, reflecting trader consensus on inflation hedges despite recent U.S. CPI cooling to 2.4% YoY. Key catalysts ahead include the March 18-19 FOMC meeting for rate cut signals and February jobs data on March 7, where nonfarm payrolls exceeding 200K could bolster the dollar and cap upside; historical precedent shows silver rallying 5-10% on Fed pivot confirmations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$1,152,106 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
<1%
↑ $130
<1%
↑ $125
<1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
1%
↑ $95
3%
↓ $65
24%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
$1,152,106 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
<1%
↑ $130
<1%
↑ $125
<1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
1%
↑ $95
3%
↓ $65
24%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Mercado abierto: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Silver futures (SI) traders on Polymarket are assigning modest implied probabilities to hitting the target price by March 31, primarily driven by persistent industrial demand from solar panel production and electronics amid global green energy transitions, offsetting pressure from a strengthening U.S. dollar and elevated Fed funds rates near 4.75-5.00%. Current COMEX SI front-month trades around $31.20/oz, up 15% YTD, with spot XAG/USD at $31.15, reflecting trader consensus on inflation hedges despite recent U.S. CPI cooling to 2.4% YoY. Key catalysts ahead include the March 18-19 FOMC meeting for rate cut signals and February jobs data on March 7, where nonfarm payrolls exceeding 200K could bolster the dollar and cap upside; historical precedent shows silver rallying 5-10% on Fed pivot confirmations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes