Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65% implied probability to Gold (GC) futures hitting $2,700 by March 31, 2025, propelled by persistent expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts amid cooling inflation data—the latest CPI showed core inflation at 3.1% YoY, below forecasts. A weakening U.S. dollar, down 2% YTD against major currencies, further bolsters bullish sentiment, alongside robust central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes annually. Key risks include hotter-than-expected PCE data on February 28 or a hawkish FOMC March 19 readout, potentially capping upside; historical precedent shows gold rallying 8% on average post-pivot cycles. Watch $2,650 spot resistance for near-term momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Llegará el oro (GC) a __ a finales de marzo?
¿Llegará el oro (GC) a __ a finales de marzo?
$1,944,493 Vol.
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ $6,000
1%
↑ $5,800
1%
↑ $5,600
1%
↑ $5,500
3%
↑ $5,400
2%
↓ $4,500
77%
↓ $4,300
26%
↓ $4,000
5%
↓ $3,600
1%
↓ $3,000
<1%
$1,944,493 Vol.
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ $6,000
1%
↑ $5,800
1%
↑ $5,600
1%
↑ $5,500
3%
↑ $5,400
2%
↓ $4,500
77%
↓ $4,300
26%
↓ $4,000
5%
↓ $3,600
1%
↓ $3,000
<1%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado abierto: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65% implied probability to Gold (GC) futures hitting $2,700 by March 31, 2025, propelled by persistent expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts amid cooling inflation data—the latest CPI showed core inflation at 3.1% YoY, below forecasts. A weakening U.S. dollar, down 2% YTD against major currencies, further bolsters bullish sentiment, alongside robust central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes annually. Key risks include hotter-than-expected PCE data on February 28 or a hawkish FOMC March 19 readout, potentially capping upside; historical precedent shows gold rallying 8% on average post-pivot cycles. Watch $2,650 spot resistance for near-term momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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