Trader sentiment on Polymarket for gold futures (GC) reaching the specified price threshold by end of March hinges primarily on persistent Fed rate cut expectations, with markets pricing in a 75% chance of a March pause after September's 50bps reduction, bolstering gold's appeal as a non-yielding hedge. Spot gold trades near $2,670/oz, up 2% weekly amid a softening DXY at 103 amid sticky CPI prints (Feb core +3.8% YoY). Heavy central bank buying (1,000+ tonnes YTD) and Middle East tensions underpin bullish dynamics, though ETF outflows ($1.2B last week) cap upside. Key catalysts: March 12 CPI, March 20 FOMC—watch for dot plot shifts implying <75bps 2025 cuts, potentially pressuring odds below 60% if hawkish. Historical EOM rallies average 1.5% in dovish cycles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Llegará el oro (GC) a __ a finales de marzo?
¿Llegará el oro (GC) a __ a finales de marzo?
$1,965,530 Vol.
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ $6,000
1%
↑ $5,800
1%
↑ $5,600
1%
↑ $5,500
1%
↑ $5,400
2%
↓ $4,500
77%
↓ $4,300
25%
↓ $4,000
5%
↓ $3,600
1%
↓ $3,000
<1%
$1,965,530 Vol.
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ $6,000
1%
↑ $5,800
1%
↑ $5,600
1%
↑ $5,500
1%
↑ $5,400
2%
↓ $4,500
77%
↓ $4,300
25%
↓ $4,000
5%
↓ $3,600
1%
↓ $3,000
<1%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado abierto: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for gold futures (GC) reaching the specified price threshold by end of March hinges primarily on persistent Fed rate cut expectations, with markets pricing in a 75% chance of a March pause after September's 50bps reduction, bolstering gold's appeal as a non-yielding hedge. Spot gold trades near $2,670/oz, up 2% weekly amid a softening DXY at 103 amid sticky CPI prints (Feb core +3.8% YoY). Heavy central bank buying (1,000+ tonnes YTD) and Middle East tensions underpin bullish dynamics, though ETF outflows ($1.2B last week) cap upside. Key catalysts: March 12 CPI, March 20 FOMC—watch for dot plot shifts implying <75bps 2025 cuts, potentially pressuring odds below 60% if hawkish. Historical EOM rallies average 1.5% in dovish cycles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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