Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 59.5% probability for Apple launching a new product line before 2027, driven primarily by credible supply chain leaks and analyst reports detailing a foldable iPhone debut in September 2026 alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and MacRumors have highlighted this as Apple's first entry into foldables, potentially with a 7.7-inch display optimized for iOS 27, marking a significant category expansion beyond incremental updates like the recent March 2026 iPhone 17e and M5 MacBook refreshes. Additional catalysts include rumors of AI-powered smart glasses rivaling Meta's Ray-Bans and a touchscreen MacBook Neo, though timelines remain unconfirmed amid Apple's history of delays—such as the canceled Apple Car. Key watchpoints: WWDC in June for software hints and fall hardware events, where official announcements could solidify or shift odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
$255,167 Vol.
$255,167 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$255,167 Vol.
$255,167 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Apple.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 59.5% probability for Apple launching a new product line before 2027, driven primarily by credible supply chain leaks and analyst reports detailing a foldable iPhone debut in September 2026 alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and MacRumors have highlighted this as Apple's first entry into foldables, potentially with a 7.7-inch display optimized for iOS 27, marking a significant category expansion beyond incremental updates like the recent March 2026 iPhone 17e and M5 MacBook refreshes. Additional catalysts include rumors of AI-powered smart glasses rivaling Meta's Ray-Bans and a touchscreen MacBook Neo, though timelines remain unconfirmed amid Apple's history of delays—such as the canceled Apple Car. Key watchpoints: WWDC in June for software hints and fall hardware events, where official announcements could solidify or shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Apple.
A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Apple.
Mercado abierto: Dec 12, 2025, 1:25 PM ET
Volumen
$255,167Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 1:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Apple.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 59.5% probability for Apple launching a new product line before 2027, driven primarily by credible supply chain leaks and analyst reports detailing a foldable iPhone debut in September 2026 alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and MacRumors have highlighted this as Apple's first entry into foldables, potentially with a 7.7-inch display optimized for iOS 27, marking a significant category expansion beyond incremental updates like the recent March 2026 iPhone 17e and M5 MacBook refreshes. Additional catalysts include rumors of AI-powered smart glasses rivaling Meta's Ray-Bans and a touchscreen MacBook Neo, though timelines remain unconfirmed amid Apple's history of delays—such as the canceled Apple Car. Key watchpoints: WWDC in June for software hints and fall hardware events, where official announcements could solidify or shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Apple.
A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Apple.
Volumen
$255,167Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 1:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 59.5% probability for Apple launching a new product line before 2027, driven primarily by credible supply chain leaks and analyst reports detailing a foldable iPhone debut in September 2026 alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and MacRumors have highlighted this as Apple's first entry into foldables, potentially with a 7.7-inch display optimized for iOS 27, marking a significant category expansion beyond incremental updates like the recent March 2026 iPhone 17e and M5 MacBook refreshes. Additional catalysts include rumors of AI-powered smart glasses rivaling Meta's Ray-Bans and a touchscreen MacBook Neo, though timelines remain unconfirmed amid Apple's history of delays—such as the canceled Apple Car. Key watchpoints: WWDC in June for software hints and fall hardware events, where official announcements could solidify or shift odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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