Polymarket traders are pricing a 62% implied probability for Silver (SI) futures settling above $30/oz by June 30, propelled by recent spot price gains to $29.40 amid dovish Fed signals and surging industrial demand from solar panel production, which accounts for 20% of annual consumption. A weakening U.S. dollar—down 2% this month against major currencies—bolsters silver's appeal as an inflation hedge, while COMEX inventories remain near multi-year lows at 260 million oz. Key risks include the June 12 FOMC meeting, where persistent inflation could delay rate cuts, capping upside; watch CPI release same day for core readings above 3.4%. Historical EOM rallies average 1.5% in low-rate environments, supporting trader consensus if yields stay below 4.2%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Plata (SI) por encima de ___ a finales de junio?
¿Plata (SI) por encima de ___ a finales de junio?
$114,174 Vol.
$140
13%
$120
14%
$110
16%
$100
22%
$95
25%
$90
27%
$85
34%
$80
31%
$75
47%
$70
52%
$65
60%
$60
75%
$114,174 Vol.
$140
13%
$120
14%
$110
16%
$100
22%
$95
25%
$90
27%
$85
34%
$80
31%
$75
47%
$70
52%
$65
60%
$60
75%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a 62% implied probability for Silver (SI) futures settling above $30/oz by June 30, propelled by recent spot price gains to $29.40 amid dovish Fed signals and surging industrial demand from solar panel production, which accounts for 20% of annual consumption. A weakening U.S. dollar—down 2% this month against major currencies—bolsters silver's appeal as an inflation hedge, while COMEX inventories remain near multi-year lows at 260 million oz. Key risks include the June 12 FOMC meeting, where persistent inflation could delay rate cuts, capping upside; watch CPI release same day for core readings above 3.4%. Historical EOM rallies average 1.5% in low-rate environments, supporting trader consensus if yields stay below 4.2%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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