Polymarket traders assign a 58% implied probability to silver (SI) closing above $30/oz by June 30, propelled by persistent supply deficits projected at 215 million ounces for 2024 per the Silver Institute and surging industrial demand from solar PV and electronics sectors amid global green energy transitions. Spot silver trades at $29.45/oz, up 18% year-to-date, buoyed by a weakening U.S. dollar and Fed rate cut expectations following softer May CPI data. However, upside risks hinge on upcoming June 12 FOMC meeting outcomes and nonfarm payrolls release, where stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data could bolster the dollar and cap gains; historical June seasonality shows modest 1.2% average returns, underscoring resolution uncertainty near key $30 threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Plata (SI) por encima de ___ a finales de junio?
¿Plata (SI) por encima de ___ a finales de junio?
$162,386 Vol.
$140
13%
$120
13%
$110
15%
$100
28%
$95
26%
$90
21%
$85
31%
$80
32%
$75
47%
$70
52%
$65
58%
$60
72%
$162,386 Vol.
$140
13%
$120
13%
$110
15%
$100
28%
$95
26%
$90
21%
$85
31%
$80
32%
$75
47%
$70
52%
$65
58%
$60
72%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 58% implied probability to silver (SI) closing above $30/oz by June 30, propelled by persistent supply deficits projected at 215 million ounces for 2024 per the Silver Institute and surging industrial demand from solar PV and electronics sectors amid global green energy transitions. Spot silver trades at $29.45/oz, up 18% year-to-date, buoyed by a weakening U.S. dollar and Fed rate cut expectations following softer May CPI data. However, upside risks hinge on upcoming June 12 FOMC meeting outcomes and nonfarm payrolls release, where stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data could bolster the dollar and cap gains; historical June seasonality shows modest 1.2% average returns, underscoring resolution uncertainty near key $30 threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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